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Capitals at Penguins
NHL

Washington Capitals at Pittsburgh Penguins

NHL scoreboard
Washington Capitals
▸4
Pittsburgh Penguins
3
FinalTV NBCSN, SN·PPG Paints Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the Pittsburgh Penguins 4-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. The Penguins led 3-2 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Ovechkin's goal at 18:53 of the third period, which took the Capitals' chances from 48% to 94%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 2.5 to 2.0; shots on goal were WSH 22, PIT 22. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Braden Holtby stopped 19 of 22 (.864), 1.0 goals below expected; Matt Murray stopped 18 of 22 (.818), 1.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Nicklas Backstrom (3 A), 3. Jake Guentzel (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom3 A
  3. ★★★
    PIT
    J. Guentzel1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH0725210422
PITPIT0931003322

Scoring

7 goals

2nd period

  1. WSH
    J. Carlson(2)PPG
    N. Backstrom (7), A. Ovechkin (5)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +14 pts
    1-0
    0:48
  2. PIT
    J. Guentzel(8)
    J. Schultz (5), S. Crosby (9)
    tip-inxG 0.09win prob +17 pts
    1-1
    4:33
  3. PIT
    P. Hornqvist(4)PPG
    E. Malkin (3), P. Kessel (5)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    6:49
  4. WSH
    C. Stephenson(2)
    T. Oshie (2), N. Backstrom (8)
    snapxG 0.18win prob +19 pts
    2-2
    11:04
  5. PIT
    S. Crosby(8)
    J. Guentzel (11), K. Letang (7)
    snapxG 0.17win prob +18 pts
    2-3
    16:27

3rd period

  1. WSH
    M. Niskanen(1)
    D. Orlov (4), T. Wilson (5)
    slapxG 0.03win prob +27 pts
    3-3
    5:06
  2. WSH
    A. Ovechkin(8)
    N. Backstrom (9)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +46 pts
    4-3
    18:53

Penalties

WSH 12 PIM·PIT 12 PIM

1st

  • 3:56WSHBrett Connolly · Trippingdrawn by Zachary Aston-Reese2 min
  • 4:39PITPatric Hornqvist · Trippingdrawn by Brooks Orpik2 min
  • 7:47WSHT.J. Oshie · Holdingdrawn by Conor Sheary2 min
  • 16:30PITKris Letang · Interferencedrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 18:50PITEvgeni Malkin · Trippingdrawn by Matt Niskanen2 min

2nd

  • 5:36WSHBrooks Orpik · Hookingdrawn by Patric Hornqvist2 min
  • 13:15WSHAlex Ovechkin · Cross checkingdrawn by Sidney Crosby2 min
  • 13:15WSHTom Wilson · Unsportsmanlike conductdrawn by Jamie Oleksiak2 min
  • 13:15PITJamie Oleksiak · Cross checkingdrawn by Tom Wilson2 min
  • 15:55WSHMichal Kempny · Hookingdrawn by Tom Kuhnhackl2 min
  • 15:55PITTom Kuhnhackl · Holding the stickdrawn by Michal Kempny2 min
  • 18:58PITserved by C. Sheary · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PIT goalWSH goalFinal: PIT 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Ovechkin, 3rd 18:53 — WSH 48% → 94%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
S. Crosby · On goal · xG 0.20S. Crosby · Goal · xG 0.17P. Hornqvist · Goal · xG 0.15E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.14B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.13P. Hornqvist · Missed · xG 0.12C. Sheary · Missed · xG 0.09J. Guentzel · Goal · xG 0.09J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.09E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.08B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.06E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.06D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.05P. Hornqvist · On goal · xG 0.05S. Crosby · Missed · xG 0.05E. Malkin · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.04B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.04O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.04B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.04J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.04J. Oleksiak · Missed · xG 0.03J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.03J. Oleksiak · On goal · xG 0.03T. Kuhnhackl · On goal · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.02J. Schultz · On goal · xG 0.02E. Malkin · Missed · xG 0.02B. Dumoulin · Missed · xG 0.02K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01P. Kessel · On goal · xG 0.01K. Letang · Missed · xG 0.01J. Schultz · Missed · xG 0.01B. Rust · On goal · xG 0.01O. Maatta · On goal · xG 0.00B. Dumoulin · On goal · xG 0.00
PIT3 G · 2.0 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsPIT
2.54 G
All situations
3 G2.0
1.93 G
Even strength
2 G1.2
0.51 G
Power play
1 G0.8
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 72 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH59%41%PIT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.45 – 1.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsPIT
22
Shots on goal
22
39%
Faceoffs
61%
1/4
Power play
1/4
12
Penalty minutes
12
41
Hits
52
12
Blocked shots
12
4
Giveaways
9
7
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
74J. CarlsonD101040.15220—29:17
19N. BackstromC033+220.350104022:29
77T. OshieR011+110.061025022:05
92E. KuznetsovC000020.204003321:34
2M. NiskanenD101030.04110—21:12
9D. OrlovD011+100.00330—20:39
8A. OvechkinL112+120.69402—20:24
6M. KempnyD000020.02202—17:41
43T. WilsonR011+210.05902—17:25
44B. OrpikD000010.00542—15:59
18C. StephensonC101+110.181005014:43
20L. EllerC000-110.082004514:15
25D. Smith-PellyR000-110.11410—10:36
13J. VranaL000010.57000—10:21
83J. BeagleC000000.001004010:20
29C. DjoosD000+100.00000—09:17
10B. ConnollyR000-100.00202—06:42
39A. ChiassonR000000.00000—05:48
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
70B. Holtby(W)22193.8641.98-1.0260:00

Series

WSH leads 4-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).