Skip to content
Flames at Jets
NHL

Calgary Flames at Winnipeg Jets

NHL scoreboard
Calgary Flames
1
Winnipeg Jets
▸2
FinalTV SNW, TSN3·Bell MTS Place

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Calgary Flames 2-1. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Paul Stastny's goal at 12:59 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 72% to 88%. Expected goals were close — CGY 1.6, WPG 1.7; shots on goal were CGY 32, WPG 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 51% of the time. Jon Gillies stopped 24 of 26 (.923); Connor Hellebuyck stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 0.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Connor Hellebuyck (31 saves, .969), 2. Blake Wheeler (1 G), 3. Spencer Foo (1 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    C. Hellebuyck31 saves, .969
  2. ★★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    S. Foo1 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY01511007132
WPGWPG181909226

Scoring

3 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    B. Wheeler(23)
    D. Byfuglien (37), K. Connor (26)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +15 pts
    0-1
    19:13

2nd period

  1. WPG
    P. Stastny(16)
    B. Chiarot (12), N. Ehlers (31)
    deflectedxG 0.05win prob +16 pts
    0-2
    12:59
  2. CGY
    S. Foo(1)
    M. Stone (6), M. Backlund (30)
    deflectedxG 0.09win prob +15 pts
    1-2
    15:14

Penalties

CGY 10 PIM·WPG 6 PIM

1st

  • 8:47WPGNikolaj Ehlers · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 12:17CGYTanner Glass · Interferencedrawn by Paul Stastny2 min

2nd

  • 16:11CGYBrett Kulak · High stickingdrawn by Nikolaj Ehlers2 min

3rd

  • 1:42CGYMark Jankowski · High stickingdrawn by Josh Morrissey2 min
  • 17:30WPGJosh Morrissey · Slashingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 18:52CGYDougie Hamilton · Trippingdrawn by Andrew Copp2 min
  • 18:52CGYMark Jankowski · Roughingdrawn by Adam Lowry2 min
  • 18:52WPGAdam Lowry · Roughingdrawn by Mark Jankowski2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
WPG goalCGY goalFinal: WPG 100%

Biggest swing: Paul Stastny, 2nd 12:59 — WPG 72% → 88%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.40B. Little · On goal · xG 0.15M. Perreault · On goal · xG 0.11A. Copp · On goal · xG 0.11K. Connor · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.07P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.07P. Laine · Missed · xG 0.06J. Armia · Missed · xG 0.06P. Stastny · Goal · xG 0.05B. Wheeler · Goal · xG 0.05D. Byfuglien · Missed · xG 0.04D. Byfuglien · On goal · xG 0.04B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.04P. Stastny · Missed · xG 0.04A. Lowry · Missed · xG 0.03T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.03J. Roslovic · Missed · xG 0.03J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.03J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · Missed · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.02P. Laine · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01J. Trouba · On goal · xG 0.01J. Morrow · Missed · xG 0.01A. Lowry · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · On goal · xG 0.01P. Stastny · On goal · xG 0.01A. Copp · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrissey · On goal · xG 0.01T. Myers · Missed · xG 0.01J. Morrow · On goal · xG 0.00B. Wheeler · On goal · xG 0.00
WPG2 G · 1.7 xG · 38 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsWPG
1.61 G
All situations
2 G1.7
1.21 G
Even strength
2 G0.7
0.40 G
Power play
0 G0.5
0.00 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.5

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 81 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY49%51%WPG

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 1.65

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsWPG
32
Shots on goal
26
35%
Faceoffs
65%
0/2
Power play
0/4
10
Penalty minutes
6
14
Hits
11
7
Blocked shots
9
11
Giveaways
11
6
Takeaways
9

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
5M. GiordanoD000-130.09210—24:30
27D. HamiltonD000-110.01012—23:40
44M. BartkowskiD000010.03100—20:23
13J. GaudreauL000+120.05010—20:01
25N. ShoreC000010.091003618:29
26M. StoneD011000.01110—18:17
11M. BacklundC011050.080004717:59
54R. AnderssonD000000.00110—16:48
16S. FooR101060.52000—16:17
93S. BennettC000-120.081006715:38
77M. JankowskiL000-100.033041015:15
61B. KulakD000010.03002—15:05
79M. FerlandL000010.08010—15:04
36T. BrouwerR000-100.01100—14:52
21G. HathawayR000020.15100—11:14
67M. FrolikR000-160.2610010011:03
15T. GlassL000010.07012—09:51
20C. LazarC000000.031002909:26
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32J. Gillies(L)26242.9231.71-0.2959:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).