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Jets at Senators
NHL

Winnipeg Jets at Ottawa Senators

NHL scoreboard
Winnipeg Jets
▸6
Ottawa Senators
5
FinalTV TSN3, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Winnipeg Jets beat the Ottawa Senators 6-5. The Jets scored first and never trailed. The Jets led 5-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Brandon Tanev's goal at 6:25 of the second period, which took the Jets' chances from 59% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Jets, 3.6 to 3.2; shots on goal were WPG 40, OTT 37. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Jets win a replay of these chances 56% of the time. Connor Hellebuyck stopped 32 of 37 (.865), 1.8 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 34 of 40 (.850), 2.6 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Blake Wheeler (2 G), 2. Thomas Chabot (2 G, 1 A), 3. Erik Karlsson (3 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WPG
    B. Wheeler2 G
  2. ★★
    OTT
    T. Chabot2 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    OTT
    E. Karlsson3 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WPGWPG313213114640
OTTOTT111213213537

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. WPG
    A. Copp(7)
    A. Lowry (11), J. Trouba (21)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:42
  2. WPG
    J. Morrissey(7)
    A. Lowry (12), A. Copp (18)
    slapxG 0.01win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    11:36
  3. WPG
    B. Wheeler(21)
    M. Scheifele (36), K. Connor (23)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +12 pts
    3-0
    11:57
  4. OTT
    T. Chabot(8)
    M. Duchene (31), E. Karlsson (51)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +11 pts
    3-1
    18:26

2nd period

  1. OTT
    M. Duchene(25)PPG
    E. Karlsson (52), M. Hoffman (32)
    wristxG 0.03win prob +13 pts
    3-2
    1:28
  2. WPG
    B. Tanev(8)SHG
    Unassisted
    snapxG 0.18win prob +18 pts
    4-2
    6:25
  3. OTT
    T. Chabot(9)
    C. White (2), M. Hoffman (33)
    wristxG 0.01win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    11:58
  4. WPG
    B. Wheeler(22)
    M. Scheifele (37)
    wristxG 0.25win prob +18 pts
    5-3
    12:46

3rd period

  1. OTT
    C. Wolanin(1)
    R. Dzingel (17), M. Hoffman (34)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    5-4
    4:47
  2. WPG
    M. Perreault(17)PPG
    N. Ehlers (30), T. Myers (29)
    wristxG 0.17win prob +10 pts
    6-4
    14:38
  3. OTT
    M. Duchene(26)PPG
    T. Chabot (16), E. Karlsson (53)
    wristxG 0.39win prob +3 pts
    6-5
    18:55

Penalties

WPG 14 PIM·OTT 10 PIM

2nd

  • 0:57WPGBlake Wheeler · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 6:15WPGBlake Wheeler · Cross checkingdrawn by Mark Borowiecki2 min
  • 8:40OTTMagnus Paajarvi · Trippingdrawn by Blake Wheeler2 min
  • 18:24WPGserved by M. Perreault · Too many men on the ice2 min

3rd

  • 1:17OTTTom Pyatt · Hookingdrawn by Joel Armia2 min
  • 12:58OTTserved by B. Ryan · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 17:15WPGBen Chiarot · Hookingdrawn by Tom Pyatt2 min
  • 17:34WPGJacob Trouba · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 18:10WPGTyler Myers · Cross checkingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 18:10WPGTyler Myers · Roughingdrawn by Bobby Ryan2 min
  • 18:10OTTJean-Gabriel Pageau · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min
  • 18:10OTTBobby Ryan · Roughingdrawn by Tyler Myers2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalWPG goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Brandon Tanev, 2nd 6:25 — WPG 59% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.39T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.38T. Chabot · On goal · xG 0.33C. Wolanin · Goal · xG 0.17J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.15R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.14A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.13E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.11J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.10M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.09M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.08T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.07R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.06M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.06C. White · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.05Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.04M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.03M. McCormick · On goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · Goal · xG 0.03M. Duchene · Missed · xG 0.03J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wolanin · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pyatt · Missed · xG 0.02M. Hoffman · Missed · xG 0.02J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.02Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.02Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.02M. Duchene · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01Z. Smith · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.01B. Harpur · Missed · xG 0.01E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.01T. Chabot · Goal · xG 0.01R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · On goal · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01B. Ryan · Missed · xG 0.01M. Borowiecki · On goal · xG 0.01C. White · On goal · xG 0.01M. Paajarvi · On goal · xG 0.00A. Burrows · On goal · xG 0.00E. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.00J. Pageau · On goal · xG 0.00M. Borowiecki · Missed · xG 0.00
OTT5 G · 3.2 xG · 54 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WPGvsOTT
3.66 G
All situations
5 G3.2
2.84 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.41 G
Power play
2 G1.3
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 107 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WPG56%44%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.36 – 3.01

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WPGvsOTT
40
Shots on goal
37
57%
Faceoffs
43%
1/3
Power play
2/5
14
Penalty minutes
10
24
Hits
22
19
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
12
6
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Winnipeg Jets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
8J. TroubaD011+150.12112—23:01
44J. MorrisseyD101+130.06120—22:12
57T. MyersD011+110.04424—19:44
7B. ChiarotD000+120.02242—19:07
17A. LowryC022+200.001105816:49
18B. LittleC000020.210103315:48
85M. PerreaultC101020.2711010015:43
70J. MorrowD000020.05000—15:17
13B. TanevL101+220.18500—15:11
81K. ConnorL011060.52010—15:10
3T. PoolmanD000020.07110—15:08
40J. ArmiaR000010.18230—15:06
27N. EhlersL011-140.3800010014:55
55M. ScheifeleC022+110.402004014:01
25P. StastnyC000-100.060008513:58
26B. WheelerR202+140.63214—13:45
29P. LaineL000-110.28210—13:32
9A. CoppC112+220.0800010013:22
Winnipeg Jets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
37C. Hellebuyck(W)37325.8653.24-1.7660:00

Season series

WPG leads 2-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).