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Washington Capitals at New York Rangers

FinalTV NBCSN·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The Washington Capitals beat the New York Rangers 4-2. The Capitals scored first and never trailed. The Capitals led 4-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matt Niskanen's goal at 5:13 of the first period, which took the Capitals' chances from 58% to 73%. Expected goals favored the Capitals, 3.8 to 3.5; shots on goal were WSH 33, NYR 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Capitals win a replay of these chances 55% of the time. Philipp Grubauer stopped 28 of 30 (.933), 1.5 goals saved above expected; Ondrej Pavelec stopped 26 of 27 (.963), 1.9 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Alex Ovechkin (1 G, 1 A), 2. Evgeny Kuznetsov (1 G, 1 A), 3. Nicklas Backstrom (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    WSH
    A. Ovechkin1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    WSH
    E. Kuznetsov1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    WSH
    N. Backstrom2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
WSHWSH41501008433
NYRNYR0711617230

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. WSH
    wristxG 0.04win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    2:50
  2. WSH
    snapxG 0.10win prob +15 pts
    2-0
    5:13
  3. WSH
    slapxG 0.13win prob +9 pts
    3-0
    8:54
  4. WSH
    wristxG 0.26win prob +8 pts
    4-0
    16:39

2nd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.12win prob +4 pts
    4-1
    13:16

3rd period

  1. NYR
    wristxG 0.26win prob +6 pts
    4-2
    4:26

Penalties

WSH 8 PIM·NYR 6 PIM

1st

  • 0:31WSHEvgeny Kuznetsov · Slashingdrawn by Mika Zibanejad2 min
  • 7:57NYRCody McLeod · Hookingdrawn by Dmitry Orlov2 min
  • 14:43WSHMichal Kempny · Holdingdrawn by Kevin Hayes2 min

2nd

  • 0:42WSHMatt Niskanen · Holdingdrawn by Jesper Fast2 min
  • 19:40NYRVladislav Namestnikov · Hookingdrawn by Jakub Vrana2 min

3rd

  • 8:04NYRMarc Staal · High stickingdrawn by Alex Ovechkin2 min
  • 16:20WSHBrooks Orpik · Interferencedrawn by Chris Kreider2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalWSH goalFinal: NYR 0%

Biggest swing: Matt Niskanen, 1st 5:13 — WSH 58% → 73%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Zuccarello · Goal · xG 0.26F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.21J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.14J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.13K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.13J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.12L. Andersson · Goal · xG 0.12C. McLeod · On goal · xG 0.11M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.11J. Fast · Missed · xG 0.10K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.10J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.10K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.09F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09B. Skjei · On goal · xG 0.09F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09K. Hayes · Missed · xG 0.09R. O'Gara · On goal · xG 0.09F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.09J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.08V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.08J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.08J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.07M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.07V. Namestnikov · Missed · xG 0.06F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.06M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.05C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.05F. Chytil · On goal · xG 0.05R. O'Gara · Missed · xG 0.05J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.05J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.04J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.04N. Pionk · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.04C. McLeod · Missed · xG 0.04L. Andersson · Missed · xG 0.04M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03R. O'Gara · Missed · xG 0.03C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.03B. Skjei · Missed · xG 0.03M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.03J. Gilmour · Missed · xG 0.02R. O'Gara · Missed · xG 0.02P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.02L. Andersson · On goal · xG 0.01
NYR2 G · 3.5 xG · 47 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

WSHvsNYR
3.84 G
All situations
2 G3.5
2.22 G
Even strength
2 G2.9
1.01 G
Power play
0 G0.6
0.61 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
WSH55%45%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 3.71 – 3.39

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

WSHvsNYR
33
Shots on goal
30
51%
Faceoffs
49%
1/3
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
16
Hits
17
15
Blocked shots
9
6
Giveaways
15
6
Takeaways
6

Box score

every player line
Washington Capitals skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
9D. OrlovD000+230.07220—24:39
2M. NiskanenD101+120.11222—22:49
74J. CarlsonD011-130.21010—21:15
77T. OshieR101020.17000—19:34
19N. BackstromC022020.510006019:02
8A. OvechkinL112+180.88000—17:41
92E. KuznetsovC112+210.310025817:36
44B. OrpikD000000.00502—17:00
65A. BurakovskyL000020.41030—16:45
20L. EllerC000030.211308016:10
6M. KempnyD000-110.02002—15:42
43T. WilsonR000+100.10300—14:30
28J. JerabekD011+120.05030—13:47
83J. BeagleC000-110.100003613:27
18C. StephensonC000020.4800010012:09
10B. ConnollyR000-100.00300—11:16
39A. ChiassonR011000.00010—10:11
13J. VranaL000010.12000—08:53
Washington Capitals goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31P. Grubauer(W)30282.9333.51+1.5159:34

Season series

WSH leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).