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Blue Jackets at Flyers
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at Philadelphia Flyers

FinalTV FS-O, NBCSP·Wells Fargo Center

Recap

written from the game data

The Columbus Blue Jackets beat the Philadelphia Flyers 5-3. The Blue Jackets scored first and never trailed. The Blue Jackets led 4-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Andrew MacDonald's goal at 12:23 of the second period, which took the Flyers' chances from 16% to 33%. Expected goals favored the Blue Jackets, 4.2 to 3.8; shots on goal were CBJ 29, PHI 30. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flyers win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 27 of 30 (.900), 0.8 goals saved above expected; Alex Lyon stopped 18 of 18 (1.000), 1.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Cam Atkinson (3 G), 2. Andrew MacDonald (1 G, 1 A), 3. Alex Lyon (18 saves, 1.000).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CBJ
    C. Atkinson3 G
  2. ★★
    PHI
    A. MacDonald1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    PHI
    A. Lyon18 saves, 1.000

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ3811417529
PHIPHI1929012330

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. CBJ
    slapxG 0.18win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    9:41
  2. CBJ
    tip-inxG 0.06win prob +16 pts
    2-0
    9:52
  3. PHI
    slapxG 0.14win prob +15 pts
    2-1
    11:34
  4. CBJ
    deflectedxG 0.10win prob +16 pts
    3-1
    18:08

2nd period

  1. PHI
    snapxG 0.26win prob +16 pts
    3-2
    0:14
  2. CBJ
    slapxG 0.05win prob +17 pts
    4-2
    3:23
  3. PHI
    slapxG 0.03win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    12:23

3rd period

  1. CBJ
    wristxG 0.86win prob +3 pts
    5-3
    19:59

Penalties

CBJ 6 PIM·PHI 2 PIM

1st

  • 18:18CBJIan Cole · Cross checkingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min

2nd

  • 4:16CBJserved by A. Panarin · Too many men on the ice2 min
  • 13:32CBJThomas Vanek · Slashingdrawn by Scott Laughton2 min
  • 14:56PHIserved by T. Konecny · Too many men on the ice2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
PHI goalCBJ goalFinal: PHI 0%

Biggest swing: Andrew MacDonald, 2nd 12:23 — PHI 16% → 33%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.28S. Gostisbehere · Goal · xG 0.26T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.26T. Konecny · On goal · xG 0.23S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.16C. Giroux · Missed · xG 0.15C. Giroux · Goal · xG 0.15M. Raffl · On goal · xG 0.15N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.14S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.13N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.13M. Read · Missed · xG 0.12S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.12J. Voracek · Missed · xG 0.11N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.10J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.10W. Simmonds · On goal · xG 0.09S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.09S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.08N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.08N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.07J. Voracek · On goal · xG 0.07T. Konecny · Missed · xG 0.07S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.07S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.07N. Patrick · Missed · xG 0.07I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.04T. Sanheim · On goal · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03S. Couturier · Missed · xG 0.03S. Laughton · On goal · xG 0.03B. Manning · Missed · xG 0.03A. MacDonald · Goal · xG 0.03B. Manning · On goal · xG 0.03J. Lehtera · On goal · xG 0.02A. MacDonald · On goal · xG 0.02I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.02B. Manning · Missed · xG 0.02B. Manning · Missed · xG 0.02R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.02S. Gostisbehere · On goal · xG 0.02B. Manning · Missed · xG 0.01I. Provorov · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01B. Manning · On goal · xG 0.01S. Couturier · On goal · xG 0.01N. Patrick · On goal · xG 0.01R. Gudas · On goal · xG 0.01M. Raffl · Missed · xG 0.01
PHI3 G · 3.8 xG · 49 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsPHI
4.24 G
All situations
3 G3.8
1.84 G
Even strength
2 G2.2
0.60 G
Power play
1 G1.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 92 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ28%72%PHI

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.40 – 3.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsPHI
29
Shots on goal
30
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/1
Power play
1/3
6
Penalty minutes
2
19
Hits
23
21
Blocked shots
22
1
Giveaways
9
5
Takeaways
0

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD011+100.06120—23:21
58D. SavardD022+100.01150—22:58
9A. PanarinL022+330.15000—21:07
13C. AtkinsonR303+262.18000—20:48
23I. ColeD000+110.04112—20:34
18P. DuboisC000+220.272205519:55
7J. JohnsonD011+100.00210—19:18
8Z. WerenskiD011+140.21110—19:02
26T. VanekL011+140.73102—14:09
17B. DubinskyC000010.030003814:03
10A. WennbergC000+100.000005013:38
38B. JennerC101010.062202913:30
65M. NutivaaraD000+100.00310—13:27
28O. BjorkstrandR101020.19010—12:36
11M. CalvertL000030.16010—12:29
71N. FolignoL000010.023405012:10
55M. LetestuC000010.011002910:43
22S. MilanoL011000.09100—10:16
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(W)30273.9003.81+0.8160:00

Season series

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).