Skip to content
Oilers at Flames
NHL

Edmonton Oilers at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Edmonton Oilers
0
Calgary Flames
▸1
FinalTV SN, SN1 (JIP)·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Edmonton Oilers 1-0. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 1-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Johnny Gaudreau's goal at 5:18 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 70%. Expected goals were close — EDM 2.6, CGY 2.7; shots on goal were EDM 28, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 53% of the time. Cam Talbot stopped 31 of 32 (.969), 1.8 goals saved above expected; Mike Smith stopped 28 of 28 (1.000), 2.6 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Mike Smith (28 saves, 1.000), 2. Cam Talbot (31 saves, .969), 3. Mikael Backlund.

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Smith28 saves, 1.000
  2. ★★
    EDM
    C. Talbot31 saves, .969
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Backlund

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
EDMEDM0110908028
CGYCGY010112010132

Scoring

1 goal

2nd period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(22)
    S. Monahan (32), M. Ferland (17)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +17 pts
    0-1
    5:18

Penalties

EDM 9 PIM·CGY 11 PIM

1st

  • 4:32CGYTravis Hamonic · Fightingdrawn by Darnell Nurse5 min
  • 4:32EDMDarnell Nurse · Fightingdrawn by Travis Hamonic5 min
  • 6:19CGYMatt Stajan · Interferencedrawn by Jujhar Khaira2 min

2nd

  • 6:45EDMDrake Caggiula · Hookingdrawn by Chris Stewart2 min
  • 10:54EDMMichael Cammalleri · Slashingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 15:14CGYCurtis Lazar · High stickingdrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

3rd

  • 18:07CGYDougie Hamilton · Interferencedrawn by Connor McDavid2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalEDM goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Johnny Gaudreau, 2nd 5:18 — CGY 53% → 70%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.23C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.21M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.20M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.19J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.17J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.14C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.11N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.09M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.09C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.08S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.07M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.07T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.06D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.06N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.06J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.06M. Frolik · Missed · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.06T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Stajan · On goal · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.04G. Hathaway · Missed · xG 0.04S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.04M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.04C. Stewart · Missed · xG 0.03M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.03S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.02S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.02B. Kulak · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · Missed · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01N. Shore · Missed · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.00M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.00M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.00N. Shore · On goal · xG 0.00T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY1 G · 2.7 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

EDMvsCGY
2.60 G
All situations
1 G2.7
1.90 G
Even strength
1 G2.5
0.60 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.10 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
EDM47%53%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.58 – 2.74

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

EDMvsCGY
28
Shots on goal
32
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/3
Power play
0/2
9
Penalty minutes
11
16
Hits
23
16
Blocked shots
15
11
Giveaways
7
6
Takeaways
11

Box score

every player line
Edmonton Oilers skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
97C. McDavidC000050.580004224:41
4K. RussellD000010.03120—24:26
93R. Nugent-HopkinsC000010.20100022:29
74E. BearD000010.02020—21:59
29L. DraisaitlC000-120.350007621:03
25D. NurseD000-110.01125—18:34
27M. LucicL000-110.24310—18:29
6A. LarssonD000-110.07430—17:44
18R. StromeC000010.151102517:03
2A. SekeraD000000.00210—16:33
46P. AbergL000020.17000—15:43
83M. BenningD000010.01310—14:41
16J. KhairaL000010.120301712:44
98J. PuljujarviR000040.20000—11:45
13M. CammalleriL000-120.06002—11:23
44Z. KassianR000010.13000—10:28
58A. SlepyshevL000010.11000—09:11
91D. CaggiulaL000020.13002—08:53
Edmonton Oilers goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
33C. Talbot(L)32311.9692.75+1.7558:11

Season series

EDM leads 3-2

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).