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Ducks at Predators
NHL

Anaheim Ducks at Nashville Predators

NHL scoreboard
Anaheim Ducks
2
Nashville Predators
▸4
FinalTV FS-TN, PRIME·Bridgestone Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Nashville Predators beat the Anaheim Ducks 4-2. The Predators scored first and never trailed. The Predators led 3-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Ryan Johansen's goal at 15:10 of the first period, which took the Predators' chances from 67% to 82%. Expected goals favored the Predators, 3.1 to 2.7; shots on goal were ANA 33, NSH 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Predators win a replay of these chances 54% of the time. John Gibson stopped 24 of 28 (.857), 0.9 goals below expected; Pekka Rinne stopped 31 of 33 (.939), 0.7 goals saved above expected. Three stars: 1. Ryan Johansen (1 G, 1 A), 2. Austin Watson (1 G), 3. Filip Forsberg (2 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NSH
    R. Johansen1 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    NSH
    A. Watson1 G
  3. ★★★
    NSH
    F. Forsberg2 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
ANAANA0708218233
NSHNSH21111017428

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. NSH
    C. Smith(21)
    K. Turris (26), R. Hartman (19)
    wristxG 0.10win prob +12 pts
    0-1
    5:26
  2. NSH
    R. Johansen(10)
    F. Forsberg (29), V. Arvidsson (26)
    tip-inxG 0.25win prob +14 pts
    0-2
    15:10

2nd period

  1. NSH
    A. Watson(11)SHG
    C. Sissons (17), R. Ellis (15)
    backhandxG 0.23win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    18:42

3rd period

  1. ANA
    R. Rakell(29)
    C. Perry (26), R. Getzlaf (39)
    slapxG 0.20win prob +5 pts
    1-3
    6:04
  2. ANA
    R. Rakell(30)
    R. Getzlaf (40), J. Silfverberg (16)
    wristxG 0.16win prob +7 pts
    2-3
    16:35
  3. NSH
    V. Arvidsson(25)
    F. Forsberg (30), R. Johansen (34)
    wristxG 0.04win prob +4 pts
    2-4
    18:14

Penalties

ANA 7 PIM·NSH 9 PIM

1st

  • 17:24ANANick Ritchie · Cross checkingdrawn by Colton Sissons2 min

2nd

  • 18:14NSHCalle Jarnkrok · Interferencedrawn by Andrew Cogliano2 min
  • 18:43ANARyan Kesler · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Johansen5 min
  • 18:43NSHRyan Johansen · Fightingdrawn by Ryan Kesler5 min

3rd

  • 9:39NSHRyan Ellis · Hookingdrawn by Jakob Silfverberg2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NSH goalANA goalFinal: NSH 100%

Biggest swing: Ryan Johansen, 1st 15:10 — NSH 67% → 82%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
C. Sissons · On goal · xG 0.36R. Johansen · Goal · xG 0.25A. Watson · Goal · xG 0.23R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.22A. Watson · Missed · xG 0.20C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.19C. Jarnkrok · On goal · xG 0.18C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.14V. Arvidsson · Missed · xG 0.11C. Smith · Goal · xG 0.09C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.09S. Hartnell · Missed · xG 0.09A. Bitetto · On goal · xG 0.08K. Turris · On goal · xG 0.07R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.07P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.06S. Hartnell · On goal · xG 0.06V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.06C. Smith · Missed · xG 0.05R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.05V. Arvidsson · Goal · xG 0.04M. Fisher · On goal · xG 0.04M. Fisher · On goal · xG 0.04R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.03M. Ekholm · Missed · xG 0.02Y. Weber · On goal · xG 0.02N. Bonino · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.02V. Arvidsson · On goal · xG 0.02R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.02P. Subban · On goal · xG 0.02C. Jarnkrok · Missed · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02A. Emelin · On goal · xG 0.02F. Forsberg · Missed · xG 0.02N. Bonino · Missed · xG 0.02C. Smith · On goal · xG 0.01R. Hartman · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ellis · Missed · xG 0.01R. Ellis · On goal · xG 0.01M. Ekholm · On goal · xG 0.00
NSH4 G · 3.1 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

ANAvsNSH
2.72 G
All situations
4 G3.1
2.02 G
Even strength
3 G2.4
0.50 G
Power play
0 G0.1
0.20 G
Shorthanded
1 G0.6

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 85 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
ANA46%54%NSH

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.73 – 2.98

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

ANAvsNSH
33
Shots on goal
28
42%
Faceoffs
58%
0/2
Power play
0/1
7
Penalty minutes
9
22
Hits
15
7
Blocked shots
18
11
Giveaways
18
6
Takeaways
13

Box score

every player line
Anaheim Ducks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
15R. GetzlafC022-140.105006926:42
67R. RakellR202-140.84000—22:26
4C. FowlerD000-200.08000—22:25
26B. MontourD000-210.03200—21:41
47H. LindholmD000-120.05110—21:41
10C. PerryR011-110.05000—20:37
42J. MansonD000020.04310—18:51
3K. BieksaD000020.06120—18:40
17R. KeslerC000010.151153316:33
23F. BeaucheminD000+140.06000—16:31
14A. HenriqueC000-210.130103016:16
25O. KaseR000-110.02100—14:54
37N. RitchieL000-120.10402—14:23
33J. SilfverbergR011+110.03200—14:22
7A. CoglianoC000050.54010013:07
38D. GrantC000000.170003008:03
20J. ChimeraL000000.00200—06:24
22C. KellyC000020.28000005:37
Anaheim Ducks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
36J. Gibson(L)28244.8573.12-0.8858:47

Season series

NSH leads 3-0

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).