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Dallas Stars at San Jose Sharks

FinalTV FS-SW, NBCSCA·SAP Center at San Jose

Recap

written from the game data

The San Jose Sharks beat the Dallas Stars 5-2. The Sharks scored first and never trailed. The Sharks led 5-0 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Melker Karlsson's goal at 5:59 of the first period, which took the Sharks' chances from 66% to 80%. Expected goals favored the Sharks, 2.8 to 2.3; shots on goal were DAL 28, SJS 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Sharks win a replay of these chances 59% of the time. Kari Lehtonen stopped 22 of 23 (.957), 1.0 goals saved above expected; Martin Jones stopped 26 of 28 (.929). Three stars: 1. Joe Pavelski (1 G, 2 A), 2. Mikkel Boedker (2 G), 3. Justin Braun (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    SJS
    J. Pavelski1 G, 2 A
  2. ★★
    SJS
    M. Boedker2 G
  3. ★★★
    SJS
    J. Braun1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
DALDAL01105212228
SJSSJS4611408528

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. SJS
    backhandxG 0.09win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:27
  2. SJS
    wristxG 0.32win prob +13 pts
    0-2
    5:59
  3. SJS
    snapxG 0.05win prob +9 pts
    0-3
    15:08
  4. SJS
    snapxG 0.06win prob +5 pts
    0-4
    17:23

2nd period

  1. SJS
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +2 pts
    0-5
    5:00

3rd period

  1. DAL
    wristxG 0.17
    1-5
    5:35
  2. DAL
    backhandxG 0.11win prob +1 pts
    2-5
    8:57

Penalties

DAL 4 PIM·SJS 0 PIM

1st

  • 3:21DALStephen Johns · Trippingdrawn by Joe Pavelski2 min
  • 15:23DALMarc Methot · Trippingdrawn by Marcus Sorensen2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
SJS goalDAL goalFinal: SJS 100%

Biggest swing: Melker Karlsson, 1st 5:59 — SJS 66% → 80%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Karlsson · Goal · xG 0.32K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.15M. Boedker · On goal · xG 0.14D. O'Regan · On goal · xG 0.13J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.12B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.12J. Pavelski · Missed · xG 0.11B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.11K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.10J. Pavelski · Goal · xG 0.09J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.09T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.08B. Goodrow · On goal · xG 0.08M. Sorensen · Missed · xG 0.08J. Pavelski · On goal · xG 0.08L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.08L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.08L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.08M. Karlsson · On goal · xG 0.08J. Braun · Goal · xG 0.07M. Boedker · Goal · xG 0.06K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.06C. Tierney · Missed · xG 0.06C. Tierney · On goal · xG 0.06T. Meier · On goal · xG 0.05M. Boedker · Goal · xG 0.05M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.04K. Labanc · Missed · xG 0.04M. Boedker · Missed · xG 0.03T. Meier · Missed · xG 0.02M. Sorensen · On goal · xG 0.02B. Burns · On goal · xG 0.02L. Couture · Missed · xG 0.02M. Vlasic · Missed · xG 0.01B. Dillon · Missed · xG 0.01J. Braun · On goal · xG 0.01B. Burns · Missed · xG 0.01K. Labanc · On goal · xG 0.01L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00L. Couture · On goal · xG 0.00
SJS5 G · 2.8 xG · 40 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

DALvsSJS
2.32 G
All situations
5 G2.8
2.32 G
Even strength
5 G2.7
0.00 G
Power play
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 80 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
DAL41%59%SJS

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.28 – 2.75

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

DALvsSJS
28
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
0/0
Power play
0/2
4
Penalty minutes
0
26
Hits
12
9
Blocked shots
25
6
Giveaways
7
4
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Dallas Stars skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
2D. HamhuisD000-300.00030—21:54
29G. PaterynD000-200.06320—21:39
14J. BennL000-230.231004520:01
23E. LindellD000-100.00000—19:55
28S. JohnsD011+110.02412—19:11
3J. KlingbergD011-220.04010—19:07
91T. SeguinC000-340.242006419:02
33M. MethotD000000.00202—18:20
13M. JanmarkC000050.39100017:44
47A. RadulovR000-410.33120—17:12
12R. FaksaC000-120.191002316:33
17D. ShoreC000-100.00100016:25
18T. PitlickC101+130.25200014:33
90J. SpezzaC000020.021007113:47
21A. RousselL011-120.152005011:38
40R. ElieL000+110.06200—10:46
46G. SmithC101+120.302003309:30
25B. RitchieR011+100.00100—09:25
Dallas Stars goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
32K. Lehtonen23221.9572.02+1.0241:55
30B. Bishop(L)514.2000.77-3.2317:23

Season series

DAL leads 2-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).