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Blue Jackets at Rangers
NHL

Columbus Blue Jackets at New York Rangers

FinalTV FS-O, MSG·Madison Square Garden

Recap

written from the game data

The New York Rangers beat the Columbus Blue Jackets 5-3. The Rangers came back from two goals down. The Blue Jackets led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Oliver Bjorkstrand's goal at 8:01 of the third period, which took the Blue Jackets' chances from 48% to 78%. Expected goals favored the Rangers, 3.5 to 2.6; shots on goal were CBJ 25, NYR 26. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Rangers win a replay of these chances 57% of the time. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped 21 of 25 (.840), 1.0 goals below expected; Henrik Lundqvist stopped 22 of 25 (.880). Three stars: 1. Mika Zibanejad (3 A), 2. Pavel Buchnevich (1 G, 1 A), 3. Michael Grabner (2 G).

Three stars

  1. ★
    NYR
    M. Zibanejad3 A
  2. ★★
    NYR
    P. Buchnevich1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    NYR
    M. Grabner2 G

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CBJCBJ04210111325
NYRNYR0101749526

Scoring

8 goals

2nd period

  1. CBJ
    snapxG 0.23win prob +16 pts
    1-0
    0:38
  2. CBJ
    snapxG 0.06win prob +17 pts
    2-0
    4:24
  3. NYR
    wristxG 0.13win prob +17 pts
    2-1
    12:41

3rd period

  1. NYR
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +24 pts
    2-2
    5:10
  2. CBJ
    wristxG 0.19win prob +30 pts
    3-2
    8:01
  3. NYR
    slapxG 0.13win prob +25 pts
    3-3
    9:40
  4. NYR
    slapxG 0.15win prob +25 pts
    3-4
    11:27
  5. NYR
    backhandxG 0.54win prob +2 pts
    3-5
    19:11

Penalties

CBJ 10 PIM·NYR 2 PIM

1st

  • 6:58CBJJosh Anderson · Hookingdrawn by Rick Nash2 min

2nd

  • 7:41NYRMichael Grabner · Trippingdrawn by Markus Nutivaara2 min
  • 15:04CBJOliver Bjorkstrand · Interference goalkeeperdrawn by Henrik Lundqvist2 min

3rd

  • 4:13CBJArtemi Panarin · High stickingdrawn by Ryan McDonagh2 min
  • 9:37CBJZac Dalpe · Elbowingdrawn by Steven Kampfer2 min
  • 11:15CBJDavid Savard · Trippingdrawn by Michael Grabner2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
NYR goalCBJ goalFinal: NYR 100%

Biggest swing: Oliver Bjorkstrand, 3rd 8:01 — CBJ 48% → 78%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Grabner · Goal · xG 0.54M. Zuccarello · On goal · xG 0.23M. Zuccarello · Missed · xG 0.23J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.22C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.19P. Buchnevich · Goal · xG 0.15M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.15M. Zibanejad · On goal · xG 0.15M. Grabner · On goal · xG 0.13M. Grabner · Goal · xG 0.13C. Kreider · Goal · xG 0.13R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.12R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.12M. Grabner · Missed · xG 0.12J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.10P. Buchnevich · Missed · xG 0.10J. Fast · On goal · xG 0.09K. Shattenkirk · Goal · xG 0.07J. Vesey · Missed · xG 0.07N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.06P. Buchnevich · On goal · xG 0.06R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.06J. Miller · On goal · xG 0.05M. Zibanejad · Missed · xG 0.04M. Staal · Missed · xG 0.04R. Nash · Missed · xG 0.03M. Grabner · Missed · xG 0.02J. Vesey · On goal · xG 0.02K. Hayes · On goal · xG 0.02N. Holden · On goal · xG 0.02R. McDonagh · On goal · xG 0.01C. Kreider · On goal · xG 0.01S. Kampfer · Missed · xG 0.01R. Nash · On goal · xG 0.01D. Desharnais · On goal · xG 0.01K. Shattenkirk · On goal · xG 0.00
NYR5 G · 3.5 xG · 36 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CBJvsNYR
2.63 G
All situations
4 G3.5
2.43 G
Even strength
1 G1.9
0.20 G
Power play
3 G1.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 73 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CBJ43%57%NYR

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.54 – 2.93

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CBJvsNYR
25
Shots on goal
26
56%
Faceoffs
44%
0/1
Power play
3/5
10
Penalty minutes
2
20
Hits
14
12
Blocked shots
16
8
Giveaways
18
5
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Columbus Blue Jackets skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
3S. JonesD011020.24210—24:19
8Z. WerenskiD011000.13000—21:23
58D. SavardD000000.01112—20:06
10A. WennbergC000+100.060006519:46
27R. MurrayD011+100.00020—19:38
38B. JennerC011+140.27100019:24
17B. DubinskyC011010.082005518:14
64T. MotteC000+110.043003317:51
77J. AndersonR101-130.21212—17:50
9A. PanarinL101030.63002—17:49
7J. JohnsonD000000.00030—17:04
71N. FolignoL000-100.121104316:28
65M. NutivaaraD000+130.08120—16:20
28O. BjorkstrandR101+130.36212—15:53
18P. DuboisC000020.21300014:31
22S. MilanoL000020.11000—06:58
37M. HannikainenL000000.00100—06:36
36Z. DalpeC000010.0010210005:25
Columbus Blue Jackets goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
72S. Bobrovsky(L)25214.8402.96-1.0459:13

Season series

CBJ leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).