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Canadiens at Senators
NHL

Montréal Canadiens at Ottawa Senators

FinalTV TSN2, TSN5·Canadian Tire Centre

Recap

written from the game data

The Montréal Canadiens beat the Ottawa Senators 8-3. The lead changed hands 2 times. The Canadiens led 6-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Alex Galchenyuk's goal at 17:41 of the second period, which took the Canadiens' chances from 70% to 87%. Expected goals favored the Canadiens, 2.7 to 2.3; shots on goal were MTL 29, OTT 28. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canadiens win a replay of these chances 58% of the time. Al Montoya stopped 25 of 28 (.893), 0.7 goals below expected; Craig Anderson stopped 9 of 15 (.600), 4.5 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Charles Hudon (2 G, 1 A), 2. Artturi Lehkonen (2 G), 3. Tomas Plekanec (1 G, 1 A).

Three stars

  1. ★
    MTL
    C. Hudon2 G, 1 A
  2. ★★
    MTL
    A. Lehkonen2 G
  3. ★★★
    MTL
    T. Plekanec1 G, 1 A

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
MTLMTL4728214829
OTTOTT2111809328

Scoring

11 goals

1st period

  1. OTT
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.06win prob +11 pts
    0-1
    0:21
  2. MTL
    C. Hudon(1)PPG
    wristxG 0.08win prob +9 pts
    1-1
    4:27
  3. MTL
    Unassisted
    wristxG 0.15win prob +13 pts
    2-1
    7:20
  4. OTT
    tip-inxG 0.14win prob +12 pts
    2-2
    8:15
  5. MTL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +14 pts
    3-2
    13:17
  6. MTL
    backhandxG 0.17win prob +16 pts
    4-2
    16:00

2nd period

  1. OTT
    wristxG 0.07win prob +17 pts
    4-3
    10:34
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.15win prob +18 pts
    5-3
    17:41
  3. MTL
    wristxG 0.11win prob +8 pts
    6-3
    19:29

3rd period

  1. MTL
    wristxG 0.19win prob +2 pts
    7-3
    5:10
  2. MTL
    wristxG 0.09
    8-3
    13:24

Penalties

MTL 21 PIM·OTT 29 PIM

1st

  • 3:18OTTJohnny Oduya · Cross checkingdrawn by Paul Byron2 min
  • 6:27MTLVictor Mete · Holdingdrawn by Ryan Dzingel2 min
  • 17:58OTTDion Phaneuf · Roughingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 17:58MTLMichael McCarron · Unsportsmanlike conduct2 min
  • 17:58MTLMichael McCarron · Roughingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min

2nd

  • 5:30MTLBrandon Davidson · Fightingdrawn by Zack Smith5 min
  • 5:30OTTZack Smith · Fightingdrawn by Brandon Davidson5 min
  • 8:57MTLCharles Hudon · Slashingdrawn by Dion Phaneuf2 min

3rd

  • 3:20OTTMax McCormick · Misconduct10 min
  • 3:20OTTMax McCormick · Roughingdrawn by Torrey Mitchell2 min
  • 3:20OTTMax McCormick · Roughingdrawn by Michael McCarron2 min
  • 3:20MTLMichael McCarron · Roughingdrawn by Max McCormick2 min
  • 3:20MTLTorrey Mitchell · Roughingdrawn by Max McCormick2 min
  • 8:41OTTJack Rodewald · Hookingdrawn by Shea Weber2 min
  • 9:05MTLMax Pacioretty · Holdingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min
  • 14:18OTTMike Hoffman · Slashingdrawn by Jeff Petry2 min
  • 16:14OTTAlexandre Burrows · Trippingdrawn by Phillip Danault2 min
  • 17:58MTLJeff Petry · Slashingdrawn by Zack Smith2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
OTT goalMTL goalFinal: OTT 0%

Biggest swing: Alex Galchenyuk, 2nd 17:41 — MTL 70% → 87%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.19C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.18R. Dzingel · Goal · xG 0.14T. Pyatt · On goal · xG 0.13M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.13Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.12D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.11Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.08M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.07C. DiDomenico · Goal · xG 0.07R. Dzingel · Missed · xG 0.07Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.06T. Pyatt · Goal · xG 0.06A. Burrows · Missed · xG 0.05D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.05Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.05D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.04Z. Smith · On goal · xG 0.04C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.04D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.03E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.03D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.03M. McCormick · On goal · xG 0.03D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.02D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.02E. Karlsson · Missed · xG 0.02C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.02D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.02C. Wideman · On goal · xG 0.02T. Pyatt · Missed · xG 0.01R. Dzingel · On goal · xG 0.01A. Burrows · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brassard · Missed · xG 0.01C. Ceci · Missed · xG 0.01N. Thompson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Brassard · On goal · xG 0.01M. Hoffman · On goal · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · Missed · xG 0.01F. Claesson · Missed · xG 0.01D. Phaneuf · On goal · xG 0.00
OTT3 G · 2.3 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

MTLvsOTT
2.78 G
All situations
3 G2.3
2.06 G
Even strength
1 G1.2
0.51 G
Power play
2 G0.8
0.21 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.2

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 82 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
MTL58%42%OTT

Flurry-adjusted xG 2.68 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

MTLvsOTT
29
Shots on goal
28
45%
Faceoffs
55%
1/4
Power play
2/5
21
Penalty minutes
29
24
Hits
31
19
Blocked shots
17
7
Giveaways
7
3
Takeaways
7

Box score

every player line
Montréal Canadiens skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
6S. WeberD033+410.04130—26:37
22K. AlznerD000+100.00220—21:35
67M. PaciorettyL101040.30202—19:53
26J. PetryD011+110.06412—19:26
24P. DanaultC011+130.221204217:48
8J. BennD011+300.00030—17:20
92J. DrouinL011+210.143003817:03
65A. ShawR000-120.050004316:31
53V. MeteD000+210.04012—16:12
14T. PlekanecC112+230.280006716:06
62A. LehkonenL202+250.4412010015:57
88B. DavidsonD000+110.02415—15:23
11B. GallagherR112+310.26110—14:33
41P. ByronL011+210.30000—13:54
54C. HudonL213+330.411323313:49
17T. MitchellC000+100.000023311:15
27A. GalchenyukC101+110.15000010:43
34M. McCarronC000+110.034062006:41
Montréal Canadiens goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
35A. Montoya(W)28253.8932.26-0.7459:49

Season series

MTL leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).