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Calgary Flames at Vancouver Canucks

FinalTV SN1, CITY·Rogers Arena

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 5-2. The Flames scored first and never trailed. The Flames led 3-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Travis Hamonic's goal at 10:57 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 47% to 66%. Expected goals favored the Canucks, 3.0 to 1.7; shots on goal were CGY 27, VAN 29. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Canucks win a replay of these chances 72% of the time. Mike Smith stopped 27 of 29 (.931), 0.9 goals saved above expected; Jacob Markstrom stopped 22 of 27 (.815), 3.3 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Mark Giordano (1 G), 2. Dougie Hamilton (1 G, 1 A), 3. Mike Smith (27 saves, .931).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    M. Giordano1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    D. Hamilton1 G, 1 A
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Smith27 saves, .931

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
CGYCGY1821128527
VANVAN11204113229

Scoring

7 goals

1st period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.08win prob +15 pts
    1-0
    11:37
  2. VAN
    slapxG 0.09win prob +14 pts
    1-1
    17:45

2nd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.08win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    10:57
  2. CGY
    deflectedxG 0.07win prob +18 pts
    3-1
    17:59

3rd period

  1. CGY
    wristxG 0.10win prob +3 pts
    4-1
    10:14
  2. VAN
    wristxG 0.11win prob +4 pts
    4-2
    10:23
  3. CGY
    slapxG 0.02win prob +3 pts
    5-2
    11:11

Penalties

CGY 18 PIM·VAN 14 PIM

1st

  • 6:05CGYSam Bennett · Slashingdrawn by Thomas Vanek2 min
  • 9:25CGYFreddie Hamilton · Cross checkingdrawn by Troy Stecher2 min
  • 10:14CGYMichael Stone · Hookingdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 12:28CGYJohnny Gaudreau · Closing hand on puck2 min
  • 15:10CGYSam Bennett · Hookingdrawn by Alexander Burmistrov2 min

2nd

  • 3:05VANErik Gudbranson · Roughingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 5:59VANDerrick Pouliot · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 5:59CGYserved by M. Tkachuk · Delaying game bench face off violation2 min
  • 7:14CGYTJ Brodie · Slashingdrawn by Ben Hutton2 min
  • 14:11CGYTJ Brodie · Roughingdrawn by Derek Dorsett2 min
  • 14:11VANDerek Dorsett · Roughingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min

3rd

  • 2:11VANHenrik Sedin · Hookingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 4:42CGYMatt Bartkowski · Holdingdrawn by Henrik Sedin2 min
  • 9:06VANHenrik Sedin · Slashingdrawn by Troy Brouwer2 min
  • 11:55VANHenrik Sedin · Cross checkingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min
  • 16:18VANSven Baertschi · Trippingdrawn by Michael Stone2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
VAN goalCGY goalFinal: VAN 0%

Biggest swing: Travis Hamonic, 2nd 10:57 — CGY 47% → 66%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.20A. Burmistrov · On goal · xG 0.15B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.15S. Baertschi · Missed · xG 0.15B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.14D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.14D. Sedin · Missed · xG 0.13B. Hutton · Missed · xG 0.12B. Boeser · Goal · xG 0.11B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.11B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.10D. Dorsett · Missed · xG 0.09D. Dorsett · Goal · xG 0.09T. Stecher · On goal · xG 0.08S. Baertschi · On goal · xG 0.08S. Baertschi · On goal · xG 0.08D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.07B. Horvat · On goal · xG 0.06B. Boeser · Missed · xG 0.06B. Horvat · Missed · xG 0.06S. Baertschi · Missed · xG 0.06B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.05D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.05B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.05M. Granlund · On goal · xG 0.05B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.04B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.04B. Sutter · Missed · xG 0.04M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.04B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.04B. Boeser · On goal · xG 0.04B. Sutter · On goal · xG 0.04D. Sedin · On goal · xG 0.03D. Pouliot · On goal · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.03E. Gudbranson · Missed · xG 0.02E. Gudbranson · On goal · xG 0.02D. Pouliot · Missed · xG 0.02M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01M. Del Zotto · On goal · xG 0.01B. Hutton · On goal · xG 0.00
VAN2 G · 3.0 xG · 42 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

CGYvsVAN
1.75 G
All situations
2 G3.0
1.13 G
Even strength
2 G2.6
0.51 G
Power play
0 G0.3
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 75 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
CGY28%72%VAN

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.71 – 2.95

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

CGYvsVAN
27
Shots on goal
29
43%
Faceoffs
57%
1/5
Power play
0/7
18
Penalty minutes
14
17
Hits
9
15
Blocked shots
13
4
Giveaways
6
7
Takeaways
2

Box score

every player line
Calgary Flames skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
7T. BrodieD011+210.02004—26:07
5M. GiordanoD101+140.16250—24:34
24T. HamonicD101+210.08140—22:38
13J. GaudreauL112+140.360025020:24
23S. MonahanC112+120.130105918:04
11M. BacklundC000-100.081003117:41
27D. HamiltonD112030.21100—17:39
67M. FrolikR011+110.010202515:51
93S. BennettC000+110.000047315:31
19M. TkachukL011-120.21200—14:09
26M. StoneD000000.05102—13:36
10K. VersteegR000040.24000—13:13
36T. BrouwerR011+100.003205013:01
68J. JagrR011+100.00000—11:57
20C. LazarC000020.14000011:16
44M. BartkowskiD000-110.01202—10:34
15T. GlassL000010.01210—09:26
25F. HamiltonC011+100.00202006:23
Calgary Flames goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
41M. Smith(W)29272.9312.95+0.9559:56

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).