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Canucks at Flames
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
2
Calgary Flames
▸4
FinalTV CBC·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Calgary Flames beat the Vancouver Canucks 4-2. The Canucks scored first; the Flames answered. The Canucks led 2-1 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Matthew Tkachuk's goal at 11:34 of the third period, which took the Flames' chances from 18% to 52%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 2.6 to 1.3; shots on goal were VAN 24, CGY 35. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 68% of the time. Anders Nilsson stopped 31 of 34 (.912), 0.8 goals below expected; Mike Smith stopped 22 of 24 (.917), 0.7 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Sam Bennett (1 G), 2. Jake Virtanen (1 G), 3. Mike Smith (22 saves, .917).

Three stars

  1. ★
    CGY
    S. Bennett1 G
  2. ★★
    VAN
    J. Virtanen1 G
  3. ★★★
    CGY
    M. Smith22 saves, .917

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN1121705224
CGYCGY11608311435

Scoring

6 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    J. Virtanen(4)
    M. Del Zotto (10)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +12 pts
    1-0
    2:02
  2. CGY
    T. Brouwer(2)
    C. Lazar (4)
    slapxG 0.11win prob +15 pts
    1-1
    18:28

2nd period

  1. VAN
    B. Boeser(15)PPG
    M. Granlund (2), D. Sedin (11)
    tip-inxG 0.11win prob +19 pts
    2-1
    19:05

3rd period

  1. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(5)
    G. Hathaway (2), M. Backlund (12)
    backhandxG 0.05win prob +34 pts
    2-2
    11:34
  2. CGY
    S. Bennett(4)
    M. Jankowski (3), G. Hathaway (3)
    backhandxG 0.09
    2-3
    18:50
  3. CGY
    M. Tkachuk(6)EN
    M. Frolik (7), T. Hamonic (3)
    backhandxG 0.39win prob -2 pts
    2-4
    19:36

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·CGY 8 PIM

1st

  • 5:43VANAlexander Edler · Trippingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min
  • 10:39CGYMicheal Ferland · Interferencedrawn by Thomas Vanek2 min
  • 14:49VANNic Dowd · Holdingdrawn by Sam Bennett2 min

2nd

  • 1:21VANLoui Eriksson · Slashingdrawn by Johnny Gaudreau2 min
  • 2:05CGYMike Smith · Delaying game puck over glass2 min
  • 15:46CGYGarnet Hathaway · Holdingdrawn by Alexander Edler2 min
  • 18:27CGYMark Giordano · Holding the stickdrawn by Brock Boeser2 min
  • 19:54VANBrendan Gaunce · Slashingdrawn by Sean Monahan2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 100%

Biggest swing: Matthew Tkachuk, 3rd 11:34 — CGY 18% → 52%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.39M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.13G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.12T. Brouwer · Goal · xG 0.11D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.11M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.11M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.10S. Bennett · Goal · xG 0.09S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.09D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.09G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.09S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.08M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.07M. Backlund · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.07S. Bennett · Missed · xG 0.06S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · Goal · xG 0.05M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.05M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.05M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.04M. Tkachuk · Missed · xG 0.04M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.03M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.03B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.03M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.03S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.03M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.03M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.02M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.02M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.02M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.02J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · Missed · xG 0.02T. Hamonic · On goal · xG 0.02T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.01J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.01S. Bennett · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.01C. Lazar · On goal · xG 0.01G. Hathaway · On goal · xG 0.00B. Kulak · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY4 G · 2.6 xG · 53 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
1.32 G
All situations
3 G2.6
0.91 G
Even strength
3 G1.9
0.31 G
Power play
0 G0.2
0.20 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.1

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 87 unblocked attempts. Empty-net goals are left out of the goal counts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN32%68%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.34 – 2.24

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
24
Shots on goal
35
48%
Faceoffs
52%
1/4
Power play
0/4
8
Penalty minutes
8
13
Hits
13
11
Blocked shots
8
16
Giveaways
17
10
Takeaways
8

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
23A. EdlerD000-120.22022—25:10
8C. TanevD000000.00020—22:03
21L. ErikssonL000010.01112—19:17
27B. HuttonD000-100.00120—18:27
33H. SedinC000-100.020205918:22
51T. StecherD000-120.03000—18:18
22D. SedinL011-110.06000—17:08
5D. PouliotD000-210.02100—16:59
60M. GranlundC011-230.2620010016:50
50B. GaunceC000+130.081026716:42
4M. Del ZottoD011-120.01210—16:19
45M. ChaputC000+100.093005015:48
89S. GagnerC000-220.090003315:36
6B. BoeserR101-210.1101010014:50
26T. VanekL000-310.02000—14:49
18J. VirtanenR101+130.20100—12:42
17N. DowdC000-100.00102008:12
47S. BaertschiL000-120.12000—04:55
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
31A. Nilsson(L)34313.9122.25-0.7559:33

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).