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Canucks at Flames
NHL

Vancouver Canucks at Calgary Flames

NHL scoreboard
Vancouver Canucks
▸5
Calgary Flames
3
FinalTV SNP, SNW·Scotiabank Saddledome

Recap

written from the game data

The Vancouver Canucks beat the Calgary Flames 5-3. The lead changed hands 3 times. It was tied 3-3 after two periods. The biggest swing in win probability was Micheal Ferland's goal at 17:27 of the second period, which took the Flames' chances from 53% to 74%. Expected goals favored the Flames, 3.0 to 1.6; shots on goal were VAN 21, CGY 32. With league-average goaltending at both ends, the Flames win a replay of these chances 74% of the time. Jacob Markstrom stopped 29 of 32 (.906); Mike Smith stopped 16 of 21 (.762), 3.4 goals below expected. Three stars: 1. Bo Horvat (1 G), 2. Johnny Gaudreau (1 G), 3. Jacob Markstrom (29 saves, .906).

Three stars

  1. ★
    VAN
    B. Horvat1 G
  2. ★★
    CGY
    J. Gaudreau1 G
  3. ★★★
    VAN
    J. Markstrom29 saves, .906

Line score

goals · shots on goal beneath
Goals and shots on goal by period
Team1st2nd3rdT
VANVAN182726521
CGYCGY1821608332

Scoring

8 goals

1st period

  1. VAN
    S. Gagner(2)PPG
    D. Sedin (4), T. Vanek (4)
    wristxG 0.09win prob +13 pts
    1-0
    15:38
  2. CGY
    D. Hamilton(2)PPG
    M. Backlund (4), M. Tkachuk (7)
    wristxG 0.12win prob +11 pts
    1-1
    19:49

2nd period

  1. CGY
    J. Gaudreau(4)PPG
    T. Brodie (8), S. Monahan (6)
    wristxG 0.08win prob +14 pts
    1-2
    11:51
  2. VAN
    T. Vanek(5)
    M. Del Zotto (6), A. Biega (1)
    slapxG 0.06win prob +21 pts
    2-2
    15:09
  3. CGY
    M. Ferland(5)
    Unassisted
    wrap-aroundxG 0.06win prob +22 pts
    2-3
    17:27
  4. VAN
    D. Dorsett(7)SHG
    B. Sutter (4), B. Hutton (2)
    deflectedxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    3-3
    18:20

3rd period

  1. VAN
    B. Horvat(6)PPG
    B. Boeser (9), B. Hutton (3)
    backhandxG 0.14win prob +21 pts
    4-3
    4:12
  2. VAN
    H. Sedin(1)
    D. Sedin (5), J. Virtanen (2)
    wristxG 0.15win prob +17 pts
    5-3
    4:50

Penalties

VAN 8 PIM·CGY 6 PIM

1st

  • 10:44CGYDougie Hamilton · Cross checkingdrawn by Thomas Vanek2 min
  • 13:39CGYMichael Frolik · Trippingdrawn by Daniel Sedin2 min
  • 18:57VANBrandon Sutter · Holdingdrawn by TJ Brodie2 min

2nd

  • 11:28VANDaniel Sedin · High stickingdrawn by Dougie Hamilton2 min
  • 18:04VANAlex Biega · Trippingdrawn by Mark Giordano2 min

3rd

  • 0:16VANBen Hutton · Trippingdrawn by Matthew Tkachuk2 min
  • 3:49CGYMichael Stone · Holdingdrawn by Thomas Vanek2 min

Win probability

ours · the whole game
Tap or hover the chart for the moment-by-moment number
CGY goalVAN goalFinal: CGY 0%

Biggest swing: Micheal Ferland, 2nd 17:27 — CGY 53% → 74%

Shot map

unblocked attempts · size = our xG
J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.19K. Versteeg · On goal · xG 0.15M. Ferland · On goal · xG 0.14J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.14M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.12M. Stone · On goal · xG 0.12D. Hamilton · Goal · xG 0.12S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.12S. Monahan · On goal · xG 0.11K. Versteeg · Missed · xG 0.11M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.11J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.10M. Bartkowski · On goal · xG 0.10M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.10M. Giordano · Missed · xG 0.10S. Monahan · Missed · xG 0.09M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.09J. Gaudreau · Goal · xG 0.08K. Versteeg · On goal · xG 0.08J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.07M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.07M. Stone · Missed · xG 0.06M. Ferland · Goal · xG 0.06M. Backlund · Missed · xG 0.05M. Jankowski · Missed · xG 0.05J. Gaudreau · On goal · xG 0.05D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.04J. Gaudreau · Missed · xG 0.03M. Bartkowski · On goal · xG 0.03T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.03D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.03K. Versteeg · On goal · xG 0.03M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.02M. Ferland · Missed · xG 0.02M. Bartkowski · Missed · xG 0.02T. Brodie · Missed · xG 0.02M. Jankowski · On goal · xG 0.02D. Hamilton · Missed · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brouwer · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01T. Brodie · On goal · xG 0.01M. Giordano · On goal · xG 0.01M. Tkachuk · On goal · xG 0.01D. Hamilton · On goal · xG 0.01M. Bartkowski · Missed · xG 0.01K. Versteeg · On goal · xG 0.01M. Frolik · On goal · xG 0.00
CGY3 G · 3.0 xG · 48 att
Tap a shot for who, when and how likely
GoalOn goalMissedBigger = higher xG

Expected goals

VANvsCGY
1.65 G
All situations
3 G3.0
1.22 G
Even strength
1 G2.3
0.32 G
Power play
2 G0.7
0.11 G
Shorthanded
0 G0.0

Expected goals: the chance each unblocked attempt scores, from our shot model, summed. 74 unblocked attempts.

Deserve to win

on the chances created
VAN26%74%CGY

Flurry-adjusted xG 1.59 – 2.94

How often each side wins a replay of these chances with league-average goaltending at both ends. Rebounds in a flurry are counted once, so a scramble is not three chances.

Team stats

VANvsCGY
21
Shots on goal
32
57%
Faceoffs
43%
2/3
Power play
2/4
8
Penalty minutes
6
8
Hits
10
17
Blocked shots
13
12
Giveaways
13
6
Takeaways
14

Box score

every player line
Vancouver Canucks skaters
SkaterGAP+/-SOGixGHitBlkPIMFO%TOI
27B. HuttonD022010.07022—25:25
8C. TanevD000000.00040—23:19
53B. HorvatC101+120.371106520:57
4M. Del ZottoD011+110.00020—20:11
47S. BaertschiL000010.07000—18:33
89S. GagnerC101050.5601010017:30
44E. GudbransonD000+100.00000—17:29
20B. SutterC011000.000024817:24
50B. GaunceC000-110.04220016:54
15D. DorsettR101020.15000—16:50
5D. PouliotD000+120.04000—16:15
55A. BiegaD011+110.00532—16:00
6B. BoeserR011+100.00010—13:34
26T. VanekL112+110.06000—13:20
22D. SedinL022+120.02002—11:29
42A. BurmistrovC000010.060005011:18
33H. SedinC101+110.150005010:58
18J. VirtanenR011+100.0001010007:19
Vancouver Canucks goalies
GoalieSASVGASV%xGAGSAxTOI
25J. Markstrom(W)32293.9062.96-0.0460:00

Season series

CGY leads 3-1

Data: NHL. Model: Gridpex (expected goals and win probability built on NHL play-by-play).