Washington State vs. California: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
WSUTeam statsCAL
- Q4 3:52WSUWASHINGTON ST 28 yard field goal GOOD.44–22
- Q4 3:52WSUWASHINGTON ST 28 yard field goal GOOD.44–22
- Q4 7:53WSUWASHINGTON ST 41 yard field goal GOOD.41–22
- Q4 14:39WSUWASHINGTON ST 44 yard field goal GOOD.38–22
- Q4 14:39WSUWASHINGTON ST 44 yard field goal GOOD.38–22
- Q3 3:33CALCALIFORNIA Extra point GOOD.35–22
- Q3 3:33CALCALIFORNIA Extra point GOOD.35–22
- Q3 4:24WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.35–15
- Q3 7:14WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.28–15
- Q3 7:14WSUWASHINGTON ST rush for a touchdown.27–15
- Q2 0:15CALCALIFORNIA 43 yard field goal GOOD.21–15
- Q2 1:04WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.21–12
- Q2 1:04WSUWASHINGTON ST pass complete for a touchdown.20–12
- Q2 7:20CALCALIFORNIA Extra point GOOD.14–12
- Q2 7:20CALCALIFORNIA Extra point GOOD.14–11
- Q2 11:00CALCALIFORNIA 35 yard field goal GOOD.14–5
- Q2 13:58WSUWASHINGTON ST rush for a safety.14–2
- Q1 4:21WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.14–0
- Q1 4:21WSUWASHINGTON ST rush for a touchdown.13–0
- Q1 9:26WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.7–0
- Q1 9:26WSUWASHINGTON ST pass complete for a touchdown.6–0
How the model called it
- PassConnor Halliday 41/67, 521 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
- RushMarcus Mason 7 CAR, 32 YDS
- RecMarcus Mason 4 REC, 118 YDS, 1 TD
- PassJared Goff 33/59, 504 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushBrendan Bigelow 12 CAR, 41 YDS
- RecChris Harper 14 REC, 231 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsWSU up 13 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,180 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q2 3:11WSU +19%
Jared Goff pass incomplete to N/A
- Q3 7:14WSU +18%
Teondray Caldwell rush for 10 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 7:14CAL +17%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Kristoff Williams for 2 yards to the WshSt 40, tackled by Kyle Kragen
- Q1 9:26WSU +16%
Connor Halliday pass complete to Vince Mayle for 35 yards for a TOUCHDOWN, CALIFORNIA penalty pass interference declined
- Q1 4:21WSU +15%
Jeremiah Laufasa rush for 5 yards for a TOUCHDOWN
- Q2 0:15CAL +9%
Vincenzo D'Amato 43 yard field goal GOOD
FAQ
What was the final score of Washington State vs. California?
Washington State 44, California 22.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked CAL, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
| WSU | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 570 | Total yards | 585 |
| 521 | Passing yards | 521 |
| 49 | Rushing yards | 64 |
| 27 | First downs | 26 |
| 7-19 | 3rd down | 7-19 |
| 1-2 | 4th down | 0-3 |
| 41/67 | Comp/Att | 35/63 |
| 7.8 | Yards per pass | 8.3 |
| 2.3 | Yards per rush | 2.3 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 7-75 | Penalties | 11-96 |
| 32:29 | Possession | 26:40 |
Costliest call
Q4 6:51 CAL go for it on 4th & 6 at CAL 27. The model preferred punt, a gap of 0.56 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 3:52WSUWASHINGTON ST 28 yard field goal GOOD.44–22
- Q4 3:52WSUWASHINGTON ST 28 yard field goal GOOD.44–22
- Q4 7:53WSUWASHINGTON ST 41 yard field goal GOOD.41–22
- Q4 14:39WSUWASHINGTON ST 44 yard field goal GOOD.38–22
- Q4 14:39WSUWASHINGTON ST 44 yard field goal GOOD.38–22
- Q3 3:33CALCALIFORNIA Extra point GOOD.35–22
- Q3 3:33CALCALIFORNIA Extra point GOOD.35–22
- Q3 4:24WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.35–15
- Q3 7:14WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.28–15
- Q3 7:14WSUWASHINGTON ST rush for a touchdown.27–15
- Q2 0:15CALCALIFORNIA 43 yard field goal GOOD.21–15
- Q2 1:04WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.21–12
- Q2 1:04WSUWASHINGTON ST pass complete for a touchdown.20–12
- Q2 7:20CALCALIFORNIA Extra point GOOD.14–12
- Q2 7:20CALCALIFORNIA Extra point GOOD.14–11
- Q2 11:00CALCALIFORNIA 35 yard field goal GOOD.14–5
- Q2 13:58WSUWASHINGTON ST rush for a safety.14–2
- Q1 4:21WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.14–0
- Q1 4:21WSUWASHINGTON ST rush for a touchdown.13–0
- Q1 9:26WSUWASHINGTON ST Extra point GOOD.7–0
- Q1 9:26WSUWASHINGTON ST pass complete for a touchdown.6–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (CAL Elo 1353, WSU Elo 1361 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects CAL -2.1 (57% to win) — 2.6 points clear of CAL's market line of +0.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2013
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles#53 of 93 in 2013 by biggest miss · #93 of 93 in 2013 by longest odds.
The 2013 upset archive →California leads 49–30–5 · 37% have been one-possession games
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →