Holy Cross vs. Miami (OH): Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
HOLYTeam statsM-OH
- Q3 0:30HOLYLincoln Fisher 15 Yd pass from David Lynch (Owen Saraceno Kick)7–45
- Q3 5:25M-OHKellan McLaughlin 24 Yd Field Goal 0–45
- Q2 1:11M-OHLynel Billups-Williams 28 Yd pass from David McComb (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)0–42
- Q2 8:26M-OHLeo Colombi 23 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)0–35
- Q2 10:31M-OHDamarion Witten 10 Yd pass from David McComb (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)0–28
- Q2 13:35M-OHD'Shawntae Jones 2 Yd Run (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)0–21
- Q1 2:16M-OHChristian Ross 34 Yd pass from David McComb (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)0–14
- Q1 9:31M-OHDavid McComb 3 Yd Run (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)0–7
How the model called it
What the numbers say
- HOLY played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and M-OH did not face the same ones. 3rd & 8.2 vs 3rd & 5.4
- PassDavid Lynch 13/25, 141 YDS, 1 TD
- RushDatrell Jones 3 CAR, 18 YDS
- RecSirCharles Gordon 3 REC, 54 YDS
- PassDavid McComb 13/13, 234 YDS, 3 TD
- RushD'Shawntae Jones 7 CAR, 47 YDS, 1 TD
- RecLynel Billups-Williams 4 REC, 73 YDS, 1 TD
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsM-OH up 38 entering the 4th quarter. Across 183 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q1 9:31M-OH +8%
Shotgun #16 D.McComb rush left for 3 yards gain to the CHC00 TOUCHDOWN
FAQ
What was the final score of Holy Cross vs. Miami (OH)?
Holy Cross 7, Miami (OH) 45.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (M-OH) was correct.
| HOLY | M-OH | |
|---|---|---|
| 181 | Total yards | 437 |
| 141 | Passing yards | 236 |
| 40 | Rushing yards | 201 |
| 10 | First downs | 25 |
| 3-10 | 3rd down | 5-8 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 13/25 | Comp/Att | 14/15 |
| 5.6 | Yards per pass | 15.7 |
| 2.1 | Yards per rush | 5.2 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 4-19 | Penalties | 3-25 |
| 21:41 | Possession | 38:19 |
Costliest call
Q2 4:29 HOLY go for it on 4th & 10 at M-OH 31. The model preferred field goal, a gap of 0.56 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q3 0:30HOLYLincoln Fisher 15 Yd pass from David Lynch (Owen Saraceno Kick)7–45
- Q3 5:25M-OHKellan McLaughlin 24 Yd Field Goal 0–45
- Q2 1:11M-OHLynel Billups-Williams 28 Yd pass from David McComb (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)0–42
- Q2 8:26M-OHLeo Colombi 23 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)0–35
- Q2 10:31M-OHDamarion Witten 10 Yd pass from David McComb (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)0–28
- Q2 13:35M-OHD'Shawntae Jones 2 Yd Run (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)0–21
- Q1 2:16M-OHChristian Ross 34 Yd pass from David McComb (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)0–14
- Q1 9:31M-OHDavid McComb 3 Yd Run (Kellan McLaughlin Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects M-OH -17.6 (85% to win) — 12.9 points clear of HOLY's market line of -30.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →