| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WSU | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 20 |
| CSU | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
Team stats
Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo ratings (CSU Elo 1368, WSU Elo 1307) plus home-field advantage. That projects CSU -4.8 (64% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Game flow
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = WSU ahead, below = CSU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season stats — 2025
Key matchups · Pro
- WSU pass offense (0.21 PPA) vs. CSU pass defense (0.38 allowed) — edge CSU.
- CSU pass offense (0.20 PPA) vs. WSU pass defense (0.11 allowed) — edge CSU.
- WSU rush offense (0.09 PPA) vs. CSU rush defense (0.17 allowed) — edge CSU.
Drive-by-drive
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
WSU up 17 entering the 4th quarter. Across 841 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Washington State vs. Colorado State?
Washington State 20, Colorado State 3.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked CSU, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had CSU pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.