Navy
American Athletic· Elo 1543
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VMI | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| NAVY | 7 | 21 | 10 | 14 | 52 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
NAVY up 31 entering the 4th quarter. Across 343 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
VMI 7, Navy 52.
Yes — the model's pick (NAVY) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had NAVY pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Braxton Woodson run for 74 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
Braxton Woodson run for 68 yds for a TD (Nathan Kirkwood KICK)
Collin Shannon pass complete to Owen Sweeney for 75 yds for a TD (Ben Shrewsbury KICK)
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