Taylor vs. Butler: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Taylor

Butler0-1

▸

Final

Butler Bowl

	1	2	3	4	T
TAYL	0	7	0	6	13
BUTL	14	3	21	3	41

TAYLTeam statsBUTL

325Total yards439

169Pass185

156Rush254

13First downs16

4-153rd down3-13

1Turnovers0

32:18Possession27:42

Q4 9:01TAYLDakohta Sonnichsen 75 Yd pass from Stephen Ellis (Isaac Hoke PAT failed)13–41
Q4 9:13BUTLLuka Zurak 20 Yd Field Goal 7–41
Q3 3:18BUTLHarry Ochs 0 Yd Fumble Return (Luka Zurak Kick)7–38
Q3 9:19BUTLJyran Mitchell 63 Yd Run (Luka Zurak Kick)7–31
Q3 10:43BUTLLuke Wooten 36 Yd pass from Bret Bushka (Luka Zurak Kick)7–24
Q2 3:15TAYLJa Thomas 24 Yd pass from Damon Hockett (Isaac Hoke Kick)7–17
Q2 8:57BUTLLuka Zurak 23 Yd Field Goal 0–17
Q1 5:36BUTLJyran Mitchell 60 Yd Run (Luka Zurak Kick)0–14
Q1 13:00BUTLJyran Mitchell 1 Yd Run (Luka Zurak Kick)0–7

What the numbers say

BUTL lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 13% explosive on a 38% success rate

Kickoff141 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

BUTL (top)TAYL (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: BUTL 100%

Taylor

PassDamon Hockett 10/19, 94 YDS, 1 TD
RushStephen Ellis 6 CAR, 42 YDS
RecDakohta Sonnichsen 1 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD

Butler

PassBret Bushka 13/22, 185 YDS, 1 TD
RushJyran Mitchell 12 CAR, 178 YDS, 3 TD
RecEthan Loss 4 REC, 79 YDS

29sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

124

Points / snap

0.44

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

BUTL up 31 entering the 4th quarter. Across 341 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

BUTL went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WGeorgia Southern vs The Citadel34-0 WTemple vs Norfolk State41-11 WLouisiana vs UAB41-21 WLamar vs Lincoln (CA)38-0 WUtah vs Arizona State55-3

FAQ

What was the final score of Taylor vs. Butler?

Taylor 13, Butler 41.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (BUTL) was correct.

TAYL

BUTL

33%

Success rate

38%

0.47

EPA / pass

0.22

-0.11

EPA / rush

0.45

33%

Early-down success

40%

41%

Pass success

30%

29%

Rush success

46%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

13%

21%

Stuffed rush rate

15%

34%

Pass rate

45%

6.1

Avg 3rd-down distance

5.8

TAYL

6.1 yards to go on 3rd down

64 scrimmage snaps

BUTL

5.8 yards to go on 3rd down

60 scrimmage snaps

TAYL		BUTL
325	Total yards	439
169	Passing yards	185
156	Rushing yards	254
13	First downs	16
4-15	3rd down	3-13
2-5	4th down	3-3
11/20	Comp/Att	14/23
8.5	Yards per pass	8.0
3.6	Yards per rush	7.3
1	Turnovers	0
2-20	Penalties	6-44
32:18	Possession	27:42

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

TAYLTeam statsBUTL

Scoring plays

What the numbers say

Win probability

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Taylor vs. Butler?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Taylor vs. Butler: Final Score & Recap

TAYLTeam statsBUTL

What the numbers say

What was the final score of Taylor vs. Butler?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?