The Citadel vs. Georgia Southern: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
The Citadel
Georgia Southern
▸Final
Allen E. Paulson Stadium
THE Team statsGASO
212Total yards473
14Pass273
198Rush200
12First downs29
2-123rd down2-7
1Turnovers2
28:21Possession31:39
- Q4 9:25GASOMichael Lantz 48 Yd Field Goal 0–34
- Q3 12:24GASOAnthony Queeley 16 Yd pass from Davis Brin (Michael Lantz Kick)0–31
- Q2 2:02GASOMichael Lantz 22 Yd Field Goal 0–24
- Q2 12:22GASODerwin Burgess Jr. 13 Yd pass from Davis Brin (Michael Lantz Kick)0–21
- Q1 1:47GASOJalen White 2 Yd Run (Michael Lantz Kick)0–14
- Q1 8:34GASOOJ Arnold 1 Yd Run (Michael Lantz Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Market line
GASO −34
Against the number
Push
line GASO −34
Kickoff145 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
GASO (top)THE (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: GASO 100%
Closing line
GASO −34
Closing total
53.5
Model line
—
Actual result
THE 0 – 34 GASO
The Citadel
- PassGraeson Underwood 2/8, 14 YDS
- RushCooper Wallace 16 CAR, 113 YDS
- RecCooper Wallace 1 REC, 9 YDS
Georgia Southern
- PassDavis Brin 27/36, 244 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
- RushJalen White 19 CAR, 125 YDS, 1 TD
- RecDerwin Burgess Jr. 6 REC, 76 YDS, 1 TD
28.8sper snap · slower the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
125
Points / snap
0.27
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsGASO up 31 entering the 4th quarter. Across 340 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
GASO went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of The Citadel vs. Georgia Southern?
The Citadel 0, Georgia Southern 34.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (GASO) was correct.
THE
GASO
26%
Success rate
64%
-0.76
EPA / pass
0.22
0.04
EPA / rush
0.38
28%
Early-down success
67%
10%
Pass success
56%
30%
Rush success
74%
9%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
13%
26%
Stuffed rush rate
7%
19%
Pass rate
57%
7.2
Avg 3rd-down distance
7.4
THE
7.2 yards to go on 3rd down
53 scrimmage snaps
GASO
7.4 yards to go on 3rd down
72 scrimmage snaps
| THE | GASO | |
|---|---|---|
| 212 | Total yards | 473 |
| 14 | Passing yards | 273 |
| 198 | Rushing yards | 200 |
| 12 | First downs | 29 |
| 2-12 | 3rd down | 2-7 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 1-1 |
| 2/8 | Comp/Att | 31/40 |
| 1.8 | Yards per pass | 6.8 |
| 4.6 | Yards per rush | 5.9 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 4-28 | Penalties | 9-95 |
| 28:21 | Possession | 31:39 |
THE
8/10 with the model
−1.3 pts · −0.0% win prob
GASO
3/5 with the model
−0.6 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q2 0:45 THE punt on 4th & 6 at GASO 36. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.87 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishTHE 0/11 scoring drives← own end zone →GASO 6/11 scoring drives
THE PUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 25Q1
GASOTD11 pl, 40 yds· opp 40Q1
THE PUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 25Q1
GASOTD11 pl, 71 yds· own 29Q1
THE PUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 25Q1
GASOTD7 pl, 73 yds· own 27Q2
THE FUM10 pl, 53 yds· own 25Q2
GASOFG13 pl, 74 yds· own 22Q2
THE PUNT5 pl, 39 yds· own 25Q2
GASOEND1 pl, -2 yds· own 20Q2
GASOTD6 pl, 69 yds· own 31Q3
THE PUNT4 pl, 36 yds· own 25Q3
GASOINT2 pl, 3 yds· own 20Q3
THE PUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 44Q3
GASOPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 30Q3
THE PUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 27Q3
GASOPUNT7 pl, 34 yds· own 23Q3
THE PUNT6 pl, 29 yds· own 9Q3
GASOFG8 pl, 34 yds· own 36Q4
THE PUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 25Q4
GASOFUM8 pl, 44 yds· own 34Q4
THE END8 pl, 47 yds· own 22Q4
- Q4 9:25GASOMichael Lantz 48 Yd Field Goal 0–34
- Q3 12:24GASOAnthony Queeley 16 Yd pass from Davis Brin (Michael Lantz Kick)0–31
- Q2 2:02GASOMichael Lantz 22 Yd Field Goal 0–24
- Q2 12:22GASODerwin Burgess Jr. 13 Yd pass from Davis Brin (Michael Lantz Kick)0–21
- Q1 1:47GASOJalen White 2 Yd Run (Michael Lantz Kick)0–14
- Q1 8:34GASOOJ Arnold 1 Yd Run (Michael Lantz Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →