Washington
1-0·Big Ten· Elo 1610
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC D | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
| WASH | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 70 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
WASH up 46 entering the 4th quarter. Across 107 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
UC Davis 10, Washington 70.
Yes — the model's pick (WASH) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had WASH pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Raiden Vines-Bright for 45 yds to the UCD 12 for a 1ST down
Dylan Mauro pass complete to Mitchell Dixon for 27 yds to the WASH 44 for a 1ST down
Demond Williams Jr. pass complete to Dezmen Roebuck for 47 yds for a TD (Grady Gross KICK)
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