#1Jonah Coleman

RB·Washington·20251.6 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Jonah Coleman is a Pass-Catching Back for Washington. Jonah's 2025 season ranks in the 38th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 181 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Jonah Coleman's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

758 Rush yards15 Rush TD156 Carries4.9 Yards/carry

Receiving

31 Receptions354 Rec yards2 Rec TD11.4 Yards/rec

Returns

3 Kick returns57 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency38
Volume71
Explosiveness38
Consistency61
Receiving72

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)38th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency61th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.34 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.91 EPA/play in Wk 2 vs UC Davis.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
James Flanders	Tulsa	2016	266	0.390	4.9	103.7
Hassan Haskins	Michigan	2021	280	0.380	4.8	106.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsColorado State	W38-21	-15.6	24	177	7.4	2	1	22	0	0.51
2	vsUC Davis	W70-10	—	15	111	7.4	5	1	24	0	0.91
4	@Washington State	W59-24	3.8	12	59	4.9	2	6	104	1	0.68
5	vsOhio State	L6-24	30.1	13	70	5.4	0	3	26	0	0.18
6	@Maryland	W24-20	0.6	18	57	3.2	1	8	47	0	0.13
7	vsRutgers	W38-19	1.0	14	44	3.1	1	1	20	0	0.18
8	@Michigan	L7-24	12.4	16	50	3.1	1	3	41	0	0.32
9	vsIllinois	W42-25	12.9	14	75	5.4	1	4	32	1	0.42
11	@Wisconsin	L10-13	-4.4	5	2	0.4	0	2	19	0	-0.37
13	@UCLA	W48-14	-8.7	4	6	1.5	1	—	—	—	0.35
14	vsOregon	L14-26	25.9	9	22	2.4	0	1	9	0	-0.27
20	vsBoise State	W38-10	3.1	12	85	7.1	1	1	10	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

24.8%

Passing plays

9.8%

Rushing plays

39.4%

Standard downs

29.2%

Passing downs

13.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.18
Passing downs: 1.07
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.81 / 0.19

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2025 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.