Tulane vs. Ole Miss: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
TULNTeam statsMISS
- Q4 4:00TULNJustyn Reid 29 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Patrick Durkin Kick)10–41
- Q4 10:45MISSTrinidad Chambliss 8 Yd Run (Lucas Carneiro Kick)3–41
- Q4 14:55MISSLogan Diggs 3 Yd Run (Lucas Carneiro Kick)3–34
- Q3 4:57MISSLucas Carneiro 48 Yd Field Goal 3–27
- Q3 10:13MISSDe'Zhaun Stribling 13 Yd pass from Trinidad Chambliss (Lucas Carneiro Kick)3–24
- Q2 3:38MISSLucas Carneiro 42 Yd Field Goal 3–17
- Q2 14:06TULNPatrick Durkin 39 Yd Field Goal 3–14
- Q1 7:26MISSTrinidad Chambliss 4 Yd Run (Lucas Carneiro Kick)0–14
- Q1 14:01MISSKewan Lacy 20 Yd Run (Lucas Carneiro Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassJake Retzlaff 20/35, 306 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushJamauri McClure 15 CAR, 84 YDS
- RecShazz Preston 5 REC, 125 YDS
- PassTrinidad Chambliss 23/29, 282 YDS, 1 TD
- RushKewan Lacy 15 CAR, 87 YDS, 1 TD
- RecDeuce Alexander 7 REC, 87 YDS
FAQ
What was the final score of Tulane vs. Ole Miss?
Tulane 10, Ole Miss 41.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (MISS) was correct.
| TULN | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 421 | Total yards | 497 |
| 306 | Passing yards | 346 |
| 115 | Rushing yards | 151 |
| 20 | First downs | 29 |
| 5-13 | 3rd down | 3-10 |
| 0-4 | 4th down | 2-2 |
| 20/37 | Comp/Att | 27/34 |
| 8.3 | Yards per pass | 10.2 |
| 3.4 | Yards per rush | 4.4 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 3-38 | Penalties | 1-5 |
| 31:01 | Possession | 28:59 |
- Q4 4:00TULNJustyn Reid 29 Yd pass from Jake Retzlaff (Patrick Durkin Kick)10–41
- Q4 10:45MISSTrinidad Chambliss 8 Yd Run (Lucas Carneiro Kick)3–41
- Q4 14:55MISSLogan Diggs 3 Yd Run (Lucas Carneiro Kick)3–34
- Q3 4:57MISSLucas Carneiro 48 Yd Field Goal 3–27
- Q3 10:13MISSDe'Zhaun Stribling 13 Yd pass from Trinidad Chambliss (Lucas Carneiro Kick)3–24
- Q2 3:38MISSLucas Carneiro 42 Yd Field Goal 3–17
- Q2 14:06TULNPatrick Durkin 39 Yd Field Goal 3–14
- Q1 7:26MISSTrinidad Chambliss 4 Yd Run (Lucas Carneiro Kick)0–14
- Q1 14:01MISSKewan Lacy 20 Yd Run (Lucas Carneiro Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (MISS Elo 1960, TULN Elo 1627 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects MISS -15.7 (85% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesOle Miss leads 43–24 · Ole Miss has won 15 straight · 27% have been one-possession games
| TULN | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| +7.0 (#47) | CORE overall | +19.4 (#16) |
| +5 / -2 | offense / defense | +16 / -4 |
| 2.56 | points / drive | 3.33 |
| 2.20 | allowed / drive | 2.07 |
| 27% | three-and-outs | 18% |
| +2 | pass over expected | +4 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →