Texas Tech vs. West Virginia: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
TTUTeam statsWVU
- Q4 13:33TTUMicah Hudson 30 Yd pass from Lloyd Jones III (Ian Hershey Kick)49–0
- Q3 4:20TTUMicah Hudson 15 Yd pass from Lloyd Jones III (Stone Harrington Kick)42–0
- Q3 12:52TTUJ'Koby Williams 9 Yd Run (Stone Harrington Kick)35–0
- Q2 6:49TTUCaleb Douglas 4 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Stone Harrington Kick)28–0
- Q1 0:13TTUCaleb Douglas 19 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Stone Harrington Kick)21–0
- Q1 3:03TTUCameron Dickey 4 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Stone Harrington Kick)14–0
- Q1 11:17TTUJacob Rodriguez 1 Yd Run (Stone Harrington Kick)7–0
How the model called it
- PassBehren Morton 25/32, 310 YDS, 3 TD
- RushCameron Dickey 12 CAR, 79 YDS
- RecCaleb Douglas 5 REC, 127 YDS, 2 TD
- PassScotty Fox Jr. 13/23, 98 YDS, 1 INT
- RushArmoni Weaver-Bomar 1 CAR, 29 YDS
- RecJeff Weimer 6 REC, 77 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsTTU up 42 entering the 4th quarter. Across 170 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Texas Tech vs. West Virginia?
Texas Tech 49, West Virginia 0.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (TTU) was correct.
| TTU | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| 572 | Total yards | 180 |
| 384 | Passing yards | 143 |
| 188 | Rushing yards | 37 |
| 32 | First downs | 9 |
| 14-21 | 3rd down | 2-13 |
| 3-3 | 4th down | 0-2 |
| 29/40 | Comp/Att | 16/32 |
| 9.6 | Yards per pass | 4.5 |
| 3.5 | Yards per rush | 1.7 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 2 |
| 6-54 | Penalties | 7-70 |
| 40:00 | Possession | 20:00 |
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 13:33TTUMicah Hudson 30 Yd pass from Lloyd Jones III (Ian Hershey Kick)49–0
- Q3 4:20TTUMicah Hudson 15 Yd pass from Lloyd Jones III (Stone Harrington Kick)42–0
- Q3 12:52TTUJ'Koby Williams 9 Yd Run (Stone Harrington Kick)35–0
- Q2 6:49TTUCaleb Douglas 4 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Stone Harrington Kick)28–0
- Q1 0:13TTUCaleb Douglas 19 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Stone Harrington Kick)21–0
- Q1 3:03TTUCameron Dickey 4 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Stone Harrington Kick)14–0
- Q1 11:17TTUJacob Rodriguez 1 Yd Run (Stone Harrington Kick)7–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (WVU Elo 1355, TTU Elo 1997 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects WVU +23.3 (8% to win), essentially in line with the market.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesTexas Tech leads 8–7 · Texas Tech has won 2 straight · 47% have been one-possession games
| TTU | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| +33.7 (#5) | CORE overall | -10.6 (#98) |
| +4 / -30 | offense / defense | -11 / -1 |
| 2.82 | points / drive | 1.51 |
| 0.95 | allowed / drive | 2.68 |
| 23% | three-and-outs | 31% |
| +4 | pass over expected | -8 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →