| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEM | 7 | 21 | 0 | 14 | 42 |
| MASS | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
Team stats
Gridpex Model Prediction
Our model blends Elo ratings (MASS Elo 1193, TEM Elo 1192) plus home-field advantage. That projects MASS -2.4 (57% to win) — 4.9 points of value on MASS versus the market line of +2.5.
Game flow
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = TEM ahead, below = MASS ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season stats — 2025
Key matchups · Pro
- MASS pass offense (0.02 PPA) vs. TEM pass defense (0.39 allowed) — edge TEM.
- MASS rush offense (-0.03 PPA) vs. TEM rush defense (0.22 allowed) — edge TEM.
- TEM rush offense (0.09 PPA) vs. MASS rush defense (0.20 allowed) — edge MASS.
Drive-by-drive
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
TEM up 18 entering the 4th quarter. Across 838 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Temple vs. Massachusetts?
Temple 42, Massachusetts 10.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked MASS, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had MASS pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.