Temple vs. Army: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
TEMTeam statsARMY
- Q3 0:22TEMCarl Hardin 31 Yd Field Goal 13–14
- Q3 6:39ARMYCale Hellums 3 Yd Run (Dawson Jones Kick)10–14
- Q2 0:01TEMCarl Hardin 24 Yd Field Goal 10–7
- Q2 4:03TEMColin Chase 2 Yd pass from Evan Simon (Carl Hardin Kick)7–7
- Q2 11:19ARMYJake Rendina 7 Yd Run (Dawson Jones Kick)0–7
How the model called it
- PassEvan Simon 15/25, 157 YDS, 1 TD
- RushJay Ducker 8 CAR, 46 YDS
- RecPeter Clarke 2 REC, 51 YDS
- PassCale Hellums 1/3, 26 YDS
- RushCale Hellums 36 CAR, 118 YDS, 1 TD
- RecParker Poloskey 1 REC, 26 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsARMY up 1 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,678 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q3 6:39ARMY +23%
Shotgun #3 C.Hellums rush right for 3 yards gain to the Temple00 TOUCHDOWN
- Q3 0:22TEM +19%
#98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 31 yards GOOD
- Q2 4:03TEM +16%
Shotgun #6 E.Simon pass complete short left to #1 C.Chase caught at Army01, for 2 yards to the Army00 TOUCHDOWN, 1ST DOWN
- Q1 10:21TEM +16%
#7 D.Atton punt 42 yards to the Army01
- Q2 0:01TEM +15%
#98 C.Hardin field goal attempt from 24 yards GOOD
- Q4 9:53TEM +14%
#7 D.Atton punt 50 yards to the Army42
FAQ
What was the final score of Temple vs. Army?
Temple 13, Army 14.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (ARMY) was correct.
| TEM | ARMY | |
|---|---|---|
| 268 | Total yards | 250 |
| 157 | Passing yards | 26 |
| 111 | Rushing yards | 224 |
| 16 | First downs | 20 |
| 2-8 | 3rd down | 7-14 |
| 2-2 | 4th down | 4-5 |
| 15/25 | Comp/Att | 1/3 |
| 6.3 | Yards per pass | 8.7 |
| 5.3 | Yards per rush | 3.6 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 5-37 | Penalties | 3-15 |
| 22:22 | Possession | 37:38 |
Costliest call
Q1 10:21 TEM punt on 4th & 5 at ARMY 43. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.63 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q3 0:22TEMCarl Hardin 31 Yd Field Goal 13–14
- Q3 6:39ARMYCale Hellums 3 Yd Run (Dawson Jones Kick)10–14
- Q2 0:01TEMCarl Hardin 24 Yd Field Goal 10–7
- Q2 4:03TEMColin Chase 2 Yd pass from Evan Simon (Carl Hardin Kick)7–7
- Q2 11:19ARMYJake Rendina 7 Yd Run (Dawson Jones Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (ARMY Elo 1537, TEM Elo 1258 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects ARMY -13.6 (82% to win) — 6.6 points clear of ARMY's market line of -7. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profilesArmy leads 8–7 · Army has won 4 straight · 27% have been one-possession games
| TEM | ARMY | |
|---|---|---|
| -11.9 (#100) | CORE overall | -3.5 (#74) |
| -3 / +9 | offense / defense | -0 / +3 |
| 2.16 | points / drive | 2.63 |
| 3.17 | allowed / drive | 2.41 |
| 29% | three-and-outs | 18% |
| +1 | pass over expected | -34 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →