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Temple vs. Army: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Nov 8, 5:00 PM
Michie StadiumConference game
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEM | 0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| ARMY | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 14 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
Power rating (Elo)
ARMY 1537
TEM 1258
Projected spread
ARMY -13.6
incl. home edge
Model pick
ARMY
84% to win
Market spread
ARMY -7
sportsbook line
Model edge
ARMY
6.6 pts of value
Win prob: model / mkt
84%
ARMY · market 70%
Our model blends Elo ratings (ARMY Elo 1537, TEM Elo 1258) plus home-field advantage. That projects ARMY -13.6 (84% to win) — 6.6 points of value on ARMY versus the market line of -7.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
ARMY (top)TEM (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: ARMY 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
TEM2025 season · higher-impact side highlightedARMY
Offense
0.20
PPA / play
0.1944%
Success rate
42%1.18
Explosiveness
1.164.58
Pts / opportunity
3.7060%
Power success
78%Defense
0.28
PPA allowed / play
0.1846%
Success rate allowed
44%1.26
Explosiveness allowed
1.1415%
Havoc rate
13%14%
Stuff rate
16%Key matchups · Pro
- ARMY pass offense (0.47 PPA) vs. TEM pass defense (0.39 allowed) — edge ARMY.
- ARMY rush offense (0.15 PPA) vs. TEM rush defense (0.22 allowed) — edge TEM.
- TEM pass offense (0.35 PPA) vs. ARMY pass defense (0.29 allowed) — edge TEM.
Drive-by-drive
TEM 3/6 scoring drives← own end zone →ARMY 2/6 scoring drives
TEMPUNT10 pl, 49 yds· own 8Q1
ARMYPUNT6 pl, 10 yds· own 1Q1
TEMMISS5 pl, 24 yds· midfieldQ1
ARMYTD11 pl, 73 yds· own 27Q1
TEMTD13 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2
ARMYDOWNS10 pl, 28 yds· own 25Q2
TEMFG6 pl, 47 yds· own 47Q2
ARMYTD14 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3
TEMFG12 pl, 68 yds· own 19Q3
ARMYPUNT7 pl, 21 yds· own 25Q3
TEMPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 8Q4
ARMYEND18 pl, 53 yds· own 42Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
ARMY up 1 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,678 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
53%
ARMY went on to win
A genuinely vulnerable lead — comebacks are common
FAQ
What was the final score of Temple vs. Army?
Temple 13, Army 14.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (ARMY) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
🤖
Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had ARMY pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.