| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SOUT | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| ISU | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 55 |
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
ISU up 34 entering the 4th quarter. Across 345 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
South Dakota 7, Iowa State 55.
Yes — the model's pick (ISU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had ISU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Aidan Bouman pass intercepted Jamison Patton return for 22 yds to the ISU 24
Aidan Bouman pass complete to Jack Martens for 35 yds to the ISU 22 for a 1ST down
Rocco Becht pass complete to Brett Eskildsen for 66 yds to the SDAK 9 for a 1ST down
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