LSU
3-0·SEC· Elo 1747
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SE L | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| LSU | 7 | 28 | 7 | 14 | 56 |
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = SE L ahead, below = LSU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
LSU up 35 entering the 4th quarter. Across 276 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
SE Louisiana 10, LSU 56.
Yes — the model's pick (LSU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had LSU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Michael Van Buren Jr. run for 12 yds to the SELA 30 for a 1ST down
Garrett Nussmeier pass complete to Barion Brown for 17 yds for a TD (Damian Ramos KICK)
Carson Camp pass complete to Jordyn Williams for 30 yds to the LSU 34 for a 1ST down
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