Sun, Sep 14, 3:59 AM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PORT | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| HAW | 0 | 14 | 3 | 6 | 23 |
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
HAW up 14 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,012 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Portland State 3, Hawai'i 23.
No — the model picked PORT, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had PORT pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
Delon Thompson run for no gain to the HAW 3
Luke Weaver pass complete to Tama Uiliata for 30 yds to the PRST 42 for a 1ST down
Luke Weaver pass complete to Cam Barfield for 31 yds for a TD Hawai'i Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Cam Barfield) to the PRST 0 (Kansei Matsuzawa KICK)
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