Oklahoma vs. Temple: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
OUTeam statsTEM
- Q3 5:04OUJohn Mateer 51 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)42–3
- Q3 7:57OUXavier Robinson 6 Yd pass from John Mateer (Tate Sandell Kick)35–3
- Q2 0:27OUTate Sandell 29 Yd Field Goal 28–3
- Q2 2:33TEMCarl Hardin 34 Yd Field Goal 25–3
- Q2 10:05OUTory Blaylock 18 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)25–0
- Q2 12:11OUTory Blaylock 6 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)18–0
- Q1 4:05OUTate Sandell 52 Yd Field Goal 11–0
- Q1 9:36OUJovantae Barnes 3 Yd Run (Jaren Kanak Pass to Jacob Ulrich for Two-Point Conversion)8–0
How the model called it
- PassJohn Mateer 20/34, 282 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushTory Blaylock 14 CAR, 100 YDS, 2 TD
- RecIsaiah Sategna III 7 REC, 97 YDS
- PassEvan Simon 13/25, 75 YDS
- RushJay Ducker 7 CAR, 24 YDS
- RecKajiya Hollawayne 2 REC, 21 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsOU up 39 entering the 4th quarter. Across 218 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
FAQ
What was the final score of Oklahoma vs. Temple?
Oklahoma 42, Temple 3.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (OU) was correct.
| OU | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 515 | Total yards | 104 |
| 287 | Passing yards | 78 |
| 228 | Rushing yards | 26 |
| 29 | First downs | 7 |
| 6-13 | 3rd down | 3-16 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 21/37 | Comp/Att | 14/27 |
| 7.8 | Yards per pass | 2.9 |
| 5.4 | Yards per rush | 1.0 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 3-25 | Penalties | 3-35 |
| 32:16 | Possession | 27:44 |
Costliest call
Q3 11:24 OU punt on 4th & 2 at OU 48. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.88 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q3 5:04OUJohn Mateer 51 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)42–3
- Q3 7:57OUXavier Robinson 6 Yd pass from John Mateer (Tate Sandell Kick)35–3
- Q2 0:27OUTate Sandell 29 Yd Field Goal 28–3
- Q2 2:33TEMCarl Hardin 34 Yd Field Goal 25–3
- Q2 10:05OUTory Blaylock 18 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)25–0
- Q2 12:11OUTory Blaylock 6 Yd Run (Tate Sandell Kick)18–0
- Q1 4:05OUTate Sandell 52 Yd Field Goal 11–0
- Q1 9:36OUJovantae Barnes 3 Yd Run (Jaren Kanak Pass to Jacob Ulrich for Two-Point Conversion)8–0
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (TEM Elo 1284, OU Elo 1679 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects TEM +13.4 (20% to win) — 10.6 points clear of TEM's market line of +24. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 15 · through week 2 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| OU | TEM | |
|---|---|---|
| +17.8 (#21) | CORE overall | -11.9 (#100) |
| -2 / -19 | offense / defense | -3 / +9 |
| 1.93 | points / drive | 2.16 |
| 1.22 | allowed / drive | 3.17 |
| 26% | three-and-outs | 29% |
| +5 | pass over expected | +1 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
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Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →