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Northwestern State vs. Cincinnati: Final Score & Recap
Sat, Sep 13, 7:30 PM
Nippert Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NORT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| CIN | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 70 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
CIN (top)NORT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: CIN 100%
Advanced Matchup — 2025
Advanced stats unavailable for this matchup.
Drive-by-drive
NORT 0/13 scoring drives← own end zone →CIN 10/12 scoring drives
CINTD4 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q1
NORTPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 11Q1
CINTD1 pl, 55 yds· own 45Q1
NORTPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 16Q1
CINTD4 pl, 42 yds· opp 42Q1
NORTPUNT3 pl, -12 yds· own 25Q1
CINTD3 pl, 45 yds· opp 45Q1
NORTFUM2 pl, 8 yds· own 22Q1
CINTD2 pl, 30 yds· opp 30Q1
NORTPUNT9 pl, 38 yds· own 25Q1
CINTD8 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q2
NORTPUNT3 pl, -7 yds· own 25Q2
CINTD6 pl, 67 yds· own 33Q2
NORTPUNT3 pl, -11 yds· own 25Q2
CINPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 46Q2
NORTPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 2Q2
CINTD3 pl, 53 yds· own 47Q2
NORTEND1 pl, -3 yds· own 25Q2
NORTPUNT3 pl, 5 yds· own 25Q3
CINTD7 pl, 70 yds· own 30Q3
NORTDOWNS11 pl, 44 yds· own 25Q3
CINTD5 pl, 69 yds· own 31Q4
NORTPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 25Q4
CINPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 28Q4
NORTEND4 pl, 30 yds· own 38Q4
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
CIN up 63 entering the 4th quarter. Across 100 historically comparable game states (within ±5 pts and ±8 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
CIN went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Northwestern State vs. Cincinnati?
Northwestern State 0, Cincinnati 70.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (CIN) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record — wins and losses — never fake locks.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had CIN pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.