| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MAIN | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
| GASO | 7 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 45 |
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = MAIN ahead, below = GASO ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
GASO up 14 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,012 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Maine 17, Georgia Southern 45.
No — the model picked MAIN, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
I had MAIN pregame and it didn't hit. We report the misses — that was one.
JC French IV pass intercepted Devin Vaught return for 76 yds for a TD (Samuel Tremblay KICK)
Caden Drezek pass intercepted, touchback. Elijah McDowell return for no gain
JC French IV pass complete to Marcus Sanders Jr. for 32 yds to the ME 32 for a 1ST down
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