Ben Hill Griffin StadiumClosing line: FLA -46.5 · FLA covered
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LONG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| FLA | 14 | 24 | 10 | 7 | 55 |
Team stats
LONGthis game · better side highlightedFLA
86
Total yards
45149
Passing yards
25137
Rushing yards
2002
First downs
281-12 · 8%
Third down
7-13 · 54%Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
FLA (top)LONG (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: FLA 100%
Drive-by-drive
LONG 1/14 scoring drives← own end zone →FLA 8/12 scoring drives
LONGTD3 pl, 12 yds· own 25Q1
LONGPUNT3 pl, 4 yds· own 25Q1
FLATD6 pl, 66 yds· own 34Q1
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
FLA up 48 entering the 4th quarter. Across 83 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
100%
FLA went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Long Island University vs. Florida?
Long Island University 0, Florida 55.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (FLA) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had FLA pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.