Sat, Sep 20, 9:00 PM
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IDAH | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
| SJSU | 0 | 14 | 7 | 10 | 31 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
Tied entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,332 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Idaho 28, San José State 31.
Yes — the model's pick (SJSU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated out-of-sample: +0.449 pts mean Closing Line Value and 56.4% beat the close (n=1,596, 2021-2025 opens, walk-forward). We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had SJSU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Jabari Bates run for 87 yds for a TD (Denis Lynch KICK)
Joshua Wood pass complete to Daveon Superales for 36 yds to the SJSU 2 for a 1ST down
Joshua Wood pass intercepted Isiah Revis return for no gain to the SJSU 6
