Albertsons Stadium
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAST | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 14 |
| BOIS | 20 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 51 |
Gridpex Model Prediction
One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Win Probability
Hover over the chart to see play details
BOIS (top)EAST (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: BOIS 100%
Drive-by-drive
EAST 2/14 scoring drives← own end zone →BOIS 8/15 scoring drives
BOISTD3 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
EASTFUM4 pl, 16 yds· own 25Q1
BOISTD6 pl, 41 yds· opp 41Q1
Comparable Situations — historical outcomes
BOIS up 30 entering the 4th quarter. Across 533 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
99%
BOIS went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Eastern Washington vs. Boise State?
Eastern Washington 14, Boise State 51.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (BOIS) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
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Gridiron IQ Model
Pinned · the model's take
Called it — I had BOIS pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.