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Maddux Madsen

#4Maddux Madsen

Line value
7.5 pts
NFL Draft OutlookDay 3 (Rds 4–7)· model estimate based on position rank

Maddux Madsen is a Dual-Threat QB for Boise State. Maddux's 2024 season ranks in the 63th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 434 plays — a average rate for the QB.

2024 Production

Passing
247/396 Comp/Att3018 Pass yards23 Pass TD6 INT62.4% Comp %
Rushing
221 Rush yards5 Rush TD57 Carries3.9 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

EfficiencyVolumeDual-ThreatConsistencyClutch
Player type
Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)63th %ile · average
Game-to-game consistency80th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 8 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.16 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 0.96 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs San Diego State (SP+ -15).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · QB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2014–2024 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamYrPlaysWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Stetson BennettGeorgia20225090.63512.4323.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

Wk 1 vs Georgia Southern: +0.54 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Oregon: +0.03 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs Portland State: +0.71 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Washington State: +0.60 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Utah State: +0.80 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Hawai'i: +0.60 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs UNLV: +0.42 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs San Diego State: +0.96 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Nevada: +0.18 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs San José State: +0.65 EPA/play12Wk 13 vs Wyoming: -0.11 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Oregon State: +0.28 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs UNLV: +0.23 EPA/play15Wk 1 vs Penn State: +0.37 EPA/play1
EPA per play, by weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1@Georgia SouthernW56-45-1.722/312801169.20.54
2@OregonL34-3726.017/401481057.4700.03
4vsPortland StateW56-1413/181883079.11210.71
5vsWashington StateW45-241.312/211842142.92000.60
6vsUtah StateW62-30-10.421/252563092.6-500.80
7@Hawai'iW28-7-10.917/252172078.1400.60
9@UNLVW29-249.318/332091084.55810.42
10vsSan Diego StateW56-24-15.424/323074098.02500.96
11vsNevadaW28-21-15.29/201191155.65800.18
12@San José StateW42-21-5.522/302861087.9510.65
13@WyomingW17-13-13.614/261670018.2-60-0.11
14vsOregon StateW34-18-6.717/331952064.13710.28
15vsUNLVW21-79.318/271581083.5910.23
1vsPenn StateL14-3124.623/353041386.2-300.37

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
46.5%
Passing plays
95.0%
Rushing plays
8.4%
Standard downs
37.3%
Passing downs
68.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.47
Passing downs
0.40
Pass / Rush EPA
0.41 / 0.69

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
2024 · 14 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.