Boise State Broncos
Pac-12··0-0
0 followers
Elo
1594
#48
SP+
3.1
#64
O55/D60
FPI
3.6
SRS
4.3
AP
#25
2026 Season Projection
model win prob · 10 to play5.9 – 4.1
projected final record (now 0–0)
Exp. wins left
5.9
of 10 games
Bowl odds
61%
reach 6 wins
Best odds
93%
vs Oregon State
Toughest
6%
vs Oregon
💬Boise State Board
Show discussion →Team Statistics · per game, with national FBS rank
Offense
Total yards / game
424.3#24
Yards / play
5.8#59
Passing yards / game
244.9#51
Rushing yards / game
179.4#38
First downs / game
22.1#34
3rd down %
45.8%#26
4th down %
51.4%#90
Time of possession
32:51#8
Defense
Yards allowed / game
337.9#39
Yards / play allowed
5.5#57
Pass yards allowed / game
175.5#14
Rush yards allowed / game
162.4#86
3rd down % allowed
33.7%#22
Sacks
28#55
Tackles for loss
84#22
Turnovers & Discipline
Turnover margin
+2#54
Takeaways
23#20
Giveaways
21#110
Penalties / game
6.9#104
Penalty yards / game
59.4#94
Rank is national among all FBS teams (#1 = best), oriented so higher rank = better even for defensive and discipline metrics. Bars show percentile.
Advanced analytics
Opponent-adjusted advanced stats aren't available for 2026 yet — they populate a few weeks into the season.
Schedule & Results
Wk 1@
OregonSat+21.56%Wk 2vs
MemphisSat-4.663%Wk 3vsSouth DakotaSunWk 4@
Western MichiganSat+0.549%Wk 5vs
Utah StateSat-8.373%Wk 6@
Fresno StateSun+0.648%Wk 8@
Washington StateSat+0.648%Wk 9vs
Texas StateSun-1.956%Wk 10@
Colorado StateSat-15.287%Wk 11vs
Oregon StateSat-20.293%Wk 12vs
San Diego StateSun-5.065%
OregonSat+21.56%Wk 2vsMemphisSat-4.663%Wk 3vsSouth DakotaSunWk 4@Western MichiganSat+0.549%Wk 5vsUtah StateSat-8.373%Wk 6@Fresno StateSun+0.648%Wk 8@Washington StateSat+0.648%Wk 9vsTexas StateSun-1.956%Wk 10@Colorado StateSat-15.287%Wk 11vsOregon StateSat-20.293%Wk 12vsSan Diego StateSun-5.065%2026 Recruiting Class
Commits
19
Avg stars
3.05
Avg rating
0.8549
1 4★18 3★
| Recruit | Pos | Stars | Rtg | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrious Favors#409 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8944 | Atlanta, GA |
| Cash Herrera#1131 nat'l | QB | ★★★★★ | 0.8689 | La Jolla, CA |
| Gustaf Henriks Ras#1131 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8689 | Sweden, SWED |
| Mariyon Sloan#1227 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8667 | Shafter, CA |
| Hakeim Smalls#1227 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8667 | Everett, WA |
| Deuce Alailefaleula#1396 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8633 | Anchorage, AK |
| Jacob Arbuckle#1396 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8633 | Hemet, CA |
| Paz St John#1422 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8622 | Peoria, AZ |
| Connor LaGrow#1422 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8622 | Tualatin, OR |
| Rocky Dunn#1615 nat'l | LB | ★★★★★ | 0.8589 | Melissa, TX |
| Romeo Carter#1615 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8589 | San Diego, CA |
| Rowan Rupp#1838 nat'l | DL | ★★★★★ | 0.8533 | Meridian, ID |
| Iosua Faleagafua#1838 nat'l | OT | ★★★★★ | 0.8533 | Spring Valley, CA |
| AJ Logan#1871 nat'l | WR | ★★★★★ | 0.8522 | Spring Valley, CA |
| CD Nuno#1924 nat'l | ATH | ★★★★★ | 0.8500 | Philomath, OR |
| Corey Webb Jr.#1838 nat'l | EDGE | ★★★★★ | 0.8437 | Tonopah, AZ |
| Beckham Hofland#2313 nat'l | TE | ★★★★★ | 0.8400 | Los Alamitos, CA |
| Bradan Scott#2979 nat'l | P | ★★★★★ | 0.8100 | Solana Beach, CA |
| Tyler Himebauch#3048 nat'l | LS | ★★★★★ | 0.8067 | Monument, CO |
Program History
recent seasons| Year | Overall | Conf | Win % | xW | Luck |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 9-5 | 6-2 | 64% | 8.9 | +0.1 |
| 2024 | 12-2 | 8-0 | 86% | 10.8 | +1.2 |
| 2023 | 8-6 | 7-2 | 57% | 9.1 | -1.1 |
| 2022 | 10-4 | 8-1 | 71% | 10.5 | -0.5 |
| 2021 | 7-5 | 5-3 | 58% | 6.6 | +0.4 |
| 2020 | 5-2 | 5-1 | 71% | 4.7 | +0.3 |
| 2019 | 12-2 | 9-0 | 86% | 10.1 | +1.9 |
| 2018 | 10-3 | 7-2 | 77% | 8.8 | +1.2 |
| 2017 | 11-3 | 8-1 | 79% | 10.9 | +0.1 |
| 2016 | 10-3 | 6-2 | 77% | 11.0 | -1.0 |
xW = expected wins from per-game dominance. Luck = actual − expected (positive = won close games).