| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EAST | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| ALA | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 56 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
ALA up 42 entering the 4th quarter. Across 170 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Eastern Illinois 0, Alabama 56.
Yes — the model's pick (ALA) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had ALA pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
(03:57) Shotgun #12 K.Russell pass incomplete short left to #7 C.Adams thrown to EIU00 broken up by #8 T.Fridge, TURNOVER ON DOWNS
(00:00) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass intercepted by #36 D.Conway at EIU00, End Of Play
(00:11) Shotgun #15 T.Simpson pass complete short left to #2 R.Williams caught at EIU45, for 25 yards to the EIU38 (#34 J.Stewart), 1ST DOWN. #99 K.Pereira injured on the play
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