Campbell vs. East Carolina: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Campbell

East Carolina0-1

▸

Final

Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
CAMP	0	3	0	0	3
ECU	14	21	14	7	56

CAMPTeam statsECU

151Total yards535

147Pass363

4Rush172

14First downs27

2-143rd down13-17

2Turnovers0

32:16Possession27:44

Q4 2:45ECUDillon Lorick 11 Yd pass from Chaston Ditta (Noah Perez Kick)3–56
Q3 3:00ECUDeJuan Lacy 4 Yd Run (Noah Perez Kick)3–49
Q3 10:44ECULondon Montgomery 2 Yd Run (Andrew Conrad Kick)3–42
Q2 1:22ECUMarlon Gunn Jr. 4 Yd Run (Andrew Conrad Kick)3–35
Q2 5:59ECUParker Jenkins 17 Yd Run (Andrew Conrad Kick)3–28
Q2 11:50ECUBrock Spalding 55 Yd pass from Katin Houser (Andrew Conrad Kick)3–21
Q2 12:58CAMPAlex Crabb 29 Yd Field Goal 3–14
Q1 6:21ECULondon Montgomery 1 Yd Run (Andrew Conrad Kick)0–14
Q1 12:32ECUDesirrio Riles 18 Yd pass from Katin Houser (Andrew Conrad Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

ECU −30

Against the number

ECU covered

line ECU −30

What the numbers say

CAMP played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and ECU did not face the same ones. 3rd & 9.1 vs 3rd & 4.6

Kickoff161 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

ECU (top)CAMP (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: ECU 100%

Closing line

ECU −30

Closing total

56.0

Model line

—

Actual result

CAMP 3 – 56 ECU

Campbell

PassKamden Sixkiller 18/25, 121 YDS
RushJJ Cowan 5 CAR, 19 YDS
RecRandall King 2 REC, 34 YDS

East Carolina

PassKatin Houser 25/35, 314 YDS, 2 TD
RushTJ Engleman Jr. 5 CAR, 36 YDS
RecBrock Spalding 3 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD

22.9sper snap · faster the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

150

Points / snap

0.39

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

ECU up 46 entering the 4th quarter. Across 107 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

ECU went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WLSU vs Grambling72-10 WRobert Morris vs Virginia University Of Lynchburg46-0 WClemson vs App State66-20 WButler vs Hanover College53-0 WNorth Carolina Central vs Delaware State52-10

FAQ

What was the final score of Campbell vs. East Carolina?

Campbell 3, East Carolina 56.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (ECU) was correct.

CAMP

ECU

25%

Success rate

53%

-0.05

EPA / pass

0.51

-0.37

EPA / rush

0.31

26%

Early-down success

48%

28%

Pass success

53%

21%

Rush success

53%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

11%

43%

Stuffed rush rate

58%

Pass rate

54%

9.1

Avg 3rd-down distance

4.6

CAMP

9.1 yards to go on 3rd down

67 scrimmage snaps

ECU

4.6 yards to go on 3rd down

83 scrimmage snaps

CAMP		ECU
151	Total yards	535
147	Passing yards	363
4	Rushing yards	172
14	First downs	27
2-14	3rd down	13-17
1-1	4th down	0-1
22/36	Comp/Att	31/44
4.1	Yards per pass	8.3
0.1	Yards per rush	4.6
2	Turnovers	0
3-25	Penalties	10-84
32:16	Possession	27:44

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

CAMPTeam statsECU

Scoring plays

How the model called it

What the numbers say

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Campbell vs. East Carolina?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Campbell vs. East Carolina: Final Score & Recap

CAMPTeam statsECU

How the model called it

What the numbers say

What was the final score of Campbell vs. East Carolina?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?