BYU vs. Texas Tech: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
BYUTeam statsTTU
- Q4 2:37TTUStone Harrington 34 Yd Field Goal 7–29
- Q4 7:35BYUChase Roberts 6 Yd pass from Bear Bachmeier (Will Ferrin Kick)7–26
- Q4 10:46TTUCameron Dickey 1 Yd Run (Stone Harrington Kick)0–26
- Q3 3:41TTUStone Harrington 29 Yd Field Goal 0–19
- Q3 7:00TTUStone Harrington 39 Yd Field Goal 0–16
- Q2 8:08TTUStone Harrington 27 Yd Field Goal 0–13
- Q1 0:19TTUCaleb Douglas 9 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Stone Harrington Kick)0–10
- Q1 10:07TTUStone Harrington 47 Yd Field Goal 0–3
How the model called it
- PassBear Bachmeier 23/38, 188 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
- RushLJ Martin 10 CAR, 35 YDS
- RecChase Roberts 6 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TD
- PassBehren Morton 17/32, 219 YDS, 1 TD
- RushCameron Dickey 23 CAR, 121 YDS, 1 TD
- RecReggie Virgil 3 REC, 54 YDS
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsTTU up 19 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,041 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
- Q1 0:19TTU +12%
No Huddle-Shotgun #2 B.Morton pass complete short right to #5 C.Douglas caught at BYU00, for 9 yards to the BYU00 TOUCHDOWN, 1ST DOWN. The previous play is under autom…
- Q1 10:07TTU +6%
#48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 47 yards GOOD
- Q2 8:08TTU +5%
#48 S.Harrington field goal attempt from 27 yards GOOD
FAQ
What was the final score of BYU vs. Texas Tech?
BYU 7, Texas Tech 29.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (TTU) was correct.
| BYU | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 255 | Total yards | 368 |
| 188 | Passing yards | 219 |
| 67 | Rushing yards | 149 |
| 14 | First downs | 17 |
| 3-14 | 3rd down | 7-18 |
| 1-3 | 4th down | 0-1 |
| 23/38 | Comp/Att | 17/32 |
| 4.9 | Yards per pass | 6.8 |
| 2.5 | Yards per rush | 3.5 |
| 3 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 5-37 | Penalties | 6-50 |
| 30:35 | Possession | 29:25 |
Costliest call
Q2 3:44 BYU punt on 4th & 2 at BYU 34. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.13 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finish- Q4 2:37TTUStone Harrington 34 Yd Field Goal 7–29
- Q4 7:35BYUChase Roberts 6 Yd pass from Bear Bachmeier (Will Ferrin Kick)7–26
- Q4 10:46TTUCameron Dickey 1 Yd Run (Stone Harrington Kick)0–26
- Q3 3:41TTUStone Harrington 29 Yd Field Goal 0–19
- Q3 7:00TTUStone Harrington 39 Yd Field Goal 0–16
- Q2 8:08TTUStone Harrington 27 Yd Field Goal 0–13
- Q1 0:19TTUCaleb Douglas 9 Yd pass from Behren Morton (Stone Harrington Kick)0–10
- Q1 10:07TTUStone Harrington 47 Yd Field Goal 0–3
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency (TTU Elo 1903, BYU Elo 1722 for reference), with home-field advantage. That projects TTU -9.6 (75% to win) — 3.9 points clear of BYU's market line of -13.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Season form — 2025
nationally rankedThe matchup, in context
series history + adjusted profiles| BYU | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| +18.0 (#20) | CORE overall | +33.7 (#5) |
| +10 / -8 | offense / defense | +4 / -30 |
| 2.61 | points / drive | 2.82 |
| 1.85 | allowed / drive | 0.95 |
| 19% | three-and-outs | 23% |
| -0 | pass over expected | +4 |
Bold is the side ahead. CORE strips the situation from every play and solves the schedule out across the league, so these compare two teams that never met.
Key matchups
The analyst read: each team's offense splits crossed against the opponent's defense, with the edges called out.
Create a free account →You get Pro free for 6 months. No card required.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →