| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ABIL | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 21 |
| TCU | 14 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 42 |
Season rankings shown for FBS matchups only — one team here isn't in the FBS set.
TCU up 26 entering the 4th quarter. Across 730 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
Abilene Christian 21, TCU 42.
Yes — the model's pick (TCU) was correct.
Why trust the number?Gridpex's model is walk-forward validated on 2014–24, out-of-sample: +0.28 pts mean Closing Line Value and 53.5% beat the close. We report the record and validate every pick against closing line value.
Called it — I had TCU pregame. ✓ We log the misses too, but not this one.
Josh Hoover pass complete to Joseph Manjack IV for 51 yds to the ACU 25 for a 1ST down
Stone Earle pass complete to JB Mitchell III for 32 yds to the TCU 29 for a 1ST down
Josh Hoover pass complete to Jordan Dwyer for 31 yds to the ACU 32 for a 1ST down
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