Monmouth vs. Maine: Final Score, Recap & Advanced Stats

Monmouth

▸

Maine

Final

Alfond StadiumConference game

	1	2	3	4	T
MONM	20	7	14	10	51
MAIN	8	0	7	7	22

MONMTeam statsMAIN

632Total yards286

390Pass158

242Rush128

31First downs17

11-153rd down3-10

0Turnovers2

33:04Possession26:56

Q4 4:09MONMMichael Calton Jr. 42 Yd Field Goal 51–22
Q4 13:55MONMJosh Derry 94 Yd pass from Derek Robertson (Michael Calton Jr. Kick)48–22
Q4 14:18MAINJoe Gillette 2 Yd Run (Samuel Tremblay Kick)41–22
Q3 3:36MONMRodney Nelson 24 Yd Run (Michael Calton Jr. Kick)41–15
Q3 6:51MAINJaharie Martin 1 Yd Run (Samuel Tremblay Kick)34–15
Q3 12:02MONMJosh Derry 56 Yd pass from Derek Robertson (Michael Calton Jr. Kick)34–8
Q2 4:51MONMSone Ntoh 2 Yd Run (Michael Calton Jr. Kick)27–8
Q1 0:57MAINTrevin Ewing 98 Yd Kickoff Return (Carter Peevy Pass to Declan McKevitt for Two-Point Conversion)20–8
Q1 1:02MONMMarcus Middleton 25 Yd pass from Derek Robertson (Michael Calton Jr. Kick)20–0
Q1 2:58MONMJack Neri 11 Yd pass from Derek Robertson (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)13–0
Q1 8:01MONMSone Ntoh 4 Yd Run (Michael Calton Jr. Kick)7–0

How the model called it

Market line

MAIN −2.5

Against the number

MONM covered

line MAIN −2.5

Kickoff144 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

MAIN (top)MONM (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: MAIN 0%

Closing line

MAIN −2.5

Closing total

55.5

Model line

—

Actual result

MONM 51 – 22 MAIN

Monmouth

PassDerek Robertson 22/36, 390 YDS, 4 TD
RushRodney Nelson 14 CAR, 91 YDS, 1 TD
RecJosh Derry 7 REC, 227 YDS, 2 TD

Maine

PassCarter Peevy 16/26, 159 YDS
RushJaharie Martin 11 CAR, 46 YDS, 1 TD
RecMontigo Moss 7 REC, 53 YDS

25.9sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

133

Points / snap

0.55

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

MONM up 26 entering the 4th quarter. Across 727 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

99%

MONM went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WTulane vs Nicholls36-7 WTexas State vs Southern Miss50-36 WMontana State vs Cal Poly59-19 WDuquesne vs Long Island University47-21 WPresbyterian vs Marist42-23

FAQ

What was the final score of Monmouth vs. Maine?

Monmouth 51, Maine 22.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

No — the model picked MAIN, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.

MONM

MAIN

53%

Success rate

39%

0.76

EPA / pass

0.14

0.42

EPA / rush

0.26

45%

Early-down success

39%

54%

Pass success

33%

51%

Rush success

44%

16%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

18%

Stuffed rush rate

11%

49%

Pass rate

53%

6.2

Avg 3rd-down distance

6.7

MONM

6.2 yards to go on 3rd down

76 scrimmage snaps

MAIN

6.7 yards to go on 3rd down

57 scrimmage snaps

MONM		MAIN
632	Total yards	286
390	Passing yards	158
242	Rushing yards	128
31	First downs	17
11-15	3rd down	3-10
2-2	4th down	1-2
22/37	Comp/Att	17/28
10.5	Yards per pass	5.6
6.2	Yards per rush	4.9
0	Turnovers	2
4-35	Penalties	6-38
33:04	Possession	26:56

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

MONMTeam statsMAIN

Scoring plays

How the model called it

Win probability

How the line closed

Leaders

Tempo

This exact spot, historically

Fourth downs

FAQ

What was the final score of Monmouth vs. Maine?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Situational splits

Team stats

Fourth downs

Drive chart

Scoring plays

Model prediction

Monmouth vs. Maine: Final Score & Recap

MONMTeam statsMAIN

How the model called it

What was the final score of Monmouth vs. Maine?

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?