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Scores

Mercer vs. Samford: Final Score & Recap

Final score, recap & advanced stats

MERC
Mercer
SAMF
Samford0-1
▸
Final
Seibert StadiumConference game
1234T
MERC7021735
SAMF281401355

MERCTeam statsSAMF

391Total yards446
352Pass378
39Rush68
17First downs19
7-163rd down2-13
5Turnovers3
31:13Possession28:47
  • Q4 1:42MERCBrayden Smith 5 Yd pass from Whitt Newbauer (Reice Griffith Kick)35–55
  • Q4 6:33SAMFNoah Martin 26 Yd Interception Return (Wilson Beaverstock Kick)28–55
  • Q4 11:43SAMFGavin Morris 55 Yd Fumble Return (Wilson Beaverstock PAT failed)28–48
  • Q3 2:25MERCSamuel Albee 5 Yd pass from D.J. Smith (Reice Griffith Kick)28–42
  • Q3 5:38MERCDwayne Mcgee 2 Yd Run (Reice Griffith Kick)21–42
  • Q3 11:38MERCDwayne Mcgee 1 Yd Run (Reice Griffith Kick)14–42
  • Q2 0:22SAMFDamonta Witherspoon 4 Yd Run (Wilson Beaverstock Kick)7–42
  • Q2 4:22SAMFDamonta Witherspoon 2 Yd Run (Wilson Beaverstock Kick)7–35
  • Q1 0:18MERCD.J. Smith 1 Yd Run (Reice Griffith Kick)7–28
  • Q1 8:25SAMFIaan Cousin 77 Yd pass from Quincy Crittendon (Wilson Beaverstock Kick)0–28
  • Q1 10:59SAMFE. Jai Mason 24 Yd pass from Quincy Crittendon (Wilson Beaverstock Kick)0–21
  • Q1 11:32SAMFD.J. Rias 15 Yd pass from Quincy Crittendon (Wilson Beaverstock Kick)0–14
  • Q1 12:15SAMFD.J. Rias 15 Yd pass from Quincy Crittendon (Wilson Beaverstock Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line
MERC −9
Against the number
SAMF covered
line MERC −9

What the numbers say

  • SAMF played behind the sticks — third downs that long convert rarely, and MERC did not face the same ones. 3rd & 10.1 vs 3rd & 6.6
  • MERC lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 16% explosive on a 37% success rate
Kickoff161 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
SAMF (top)MERC (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: SAMF 100%
Closing line
MERC −9
Closing total
49.5
Model line
—
Actual result
MERC 35 – 55 SAMF
Mercer
Samford
24.3sper snap · in line with the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
148
Points / snap
0.61

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

SAMF up 14 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,009 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

94%
SAMF went on to win
A near-lock historically

FAQ

What was the final score of Mercer vs. Samford?

Mercer 35, Samford 55.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (SAMF) was correct.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →

Model estimates for informational and entertainment purposes only. Not betting advice. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Data: CollegeFootballData.