Jackson State vs. Bethune-Cookman: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Jackson State0-1
▸
Bethune-Cookman0-2
Final
Municipal StadiumConference game
JACKTeam statsBETH
513Total yards302
164Pass190
349Rush112
22First downs14
8-153rd down5-13
0Turnovers0
30:00Possession30:00
- Q4 7:22JACKGerardo Baeza 28 Yd Field Goal 37–17
- Q4 13:41JACKGerardo Baeza 39 Yd Field Goal 34–17
- Q3 4:30JACKIsaiah Spencer 23 Yd pass from Cam'Ron McCoy (Gerardo Baeza Kick)31–17
- Q3 7:45JACKIrv Mulligan 1 Yd Run (Gerardo Baeza Kick)24–17
- Q2 0:13JACKJoanes Fortilien 14 Yd pass from Jacobian Morgan (Gerardo Baeza Kick)17–17
- Q2 2:31BETHCade Hechter 25 Yd Field Goal 10–17
- Q2 8:47JACKGerardo Baeza 24 Yd Field Goal 10–14
- Q1 2:35BETHLorenzo Jenkins 16 Yd pass from Luke Sprague (Cade Hechter Kick)7–14
- Q1 8:40JACKIrv Mulligan 39 Yd Run (Gerardo Baeza Kick)7–7
- Q1 11:30BETHMaleek Huggins 11 Yd pass from Luke Sprague (Cade Hechter Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Market line
JACK −17.5
Against the number
JACK covered
line JACK −17.5
What the numbers say
- BETH lived on explosives rather than sustaining drives — a profile that vanished once those chunk plays were tackled. 15% explosive on a 32% success rate
Kickoff142 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
BETH (top)JACK (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: BETH 0%
Closing line
JACK −17.5
Closing total
53.5
Model line
—
Actual result
JACK 37 – 17 BETH
Jackson State
- PassJaCobian Morgan 14/18, 138 YDS, 1 TD
- RushIrv Mulligan 18 CAR, 171 YDS, 2 TD
- RecIsaiah Spencer 4 REC, 61 YDS, 1 TD
Bethune-Cookman
- PassLuke Sprague 15/23, 190 YDS, 2 TD
- RushDennis Palmer 20 CAR, 73 YDS
- RecMaleek Huggins 4 REC, 50 YDS, 1 TD
26.6sper snap · slower the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
127
Points / snap
0.43
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsJACK up 14 entering the 4th quarter. Across 1,010 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
94%
JACK went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Jackson State vs. Bethune-Cookman?
Jackson State 37, Bethune-Cookman 17.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
No — the model picked BETH, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.
JACK
BETH
47%
Success rate
32%
0.39
EPA / pass
0.63
0.41
EPA / rush
-0.12
44%
Early-down success
28%
44%
Pass success
48%
49%
Rush success
19%
18%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
15%
12%
Stuffed rush rate
31%
37%
Pass rate
46%
6.2
Avg 3rd-down distance
6.4
JACK
6.2 yards to go on 3rd down
68 scrimmage snaps
BETH
6.4 yards to go on 3rd down
59 scrimmage snaps
| JACK | BETH | |
|---|---|---|
| 513 | Total yards | 302 |
| 164 | Passing yards | 190 |
| 349 | Rushing yards | 112 |
| 22 | First downs | 14 |
| 8-15 | 3rd down | 5-13 |
| 2-2 | 4th down | 2-2 |
| 16/25 | Comp/Att | 15/23 |
| 6.6 | Yards per pass | 8.3 |
| 8.5 | Yards per rush | 3.3 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 6-60 | Penalties | 5-40 |
| 30:00 | Possession | 30:00 |
JACK
5/6 with the model
−0.6 pts · −0.0% win prob
BETH
4/6 with the model
−1.3 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q2 13:03 BETH punt on 4th & 5 at JACK 38. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.82 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishJACK 7/9 scoring drives← own end zone →BETH 3/10 scoring drives
BETHTD8 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
JACKTD6 pl, 71 yds· own 29Q1
BETHTD13 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
BETHPUNT5 pl, 42 yds· own 20Q1
JACKPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 25Q1
JACKFG9 pl, 73 yds· own 20Q2
BETHFG13 pl, 58 yds· own 34Q2
JACKTD10 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q2
BETHEND1 pl, 0 yds· own 39Q2
JACKTD16 pl, 69 yds· own 31Q3
BETHPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 38Q3
JACKTD3 pl, 85 yds· own 15Q3
BETHPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 27Q3
JACKFG10 pl, 59 yds· own 19Q3
BETHPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 23Q4
JACKFG10 pl, 59 yds· own 30Q4
BETHPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 20Q4
JACKPUNT4 pl, -2 yds· own 44Q4
BETHUncateg8 pl, 27 yds· own 9Q4
- Q4 7:22JACKGerardo Baeza 28 Yd Field Goal 37–17
- Q4 13:41JACKGerardo Baeza 39 Yd Field Goal 34–17
- Q3 4:30JACKIsaiah Spencer 23 Yd pass from Cam'Ron McCoy (Gerardo Baeza Kick)31–17
- Q3 7:45JACKIrv Mulligan 1 Yd Run (Gerardo Baeza Kick)24–17
- Q2 0:13JACKJoanes Fortilien 14 Yd pass from Jacobian Morgan (Gerardo Baeza Kick)17–17
- Q2 2:31BETHCade Hechter 25 Yd Field Goal 10–17
- Q2 8:47JACKGerardo Baeza 24 Yd Field Goal 10–14
- Q1 2:35BETHLorenzo Jenkins 16 Yd pass from Luke Sprague (Cade Hechter Kick)7–14
- Q1 8:40JACKIrv Mulligan 39 Yd Run (Gerardo Baeza Kick)7–7
- Q1 11:30BETHMaleek Huggins 11 Yd pass from Luke Sprague (Cade Hechter Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →