Delaware State vs. South Carolina State: Final Score & Recap

ReplayCommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

Delaware State0-1

0035

South Carolina State0-1

▸0069

Final

Oliver C. Dawson StadiumConference game

	1	2	3	4	T
DELA	7	7	0	21	35
SOUT	28	21	13	7	69

DELATeam statsSOUT

322Total yards631

126Pass477

196Rush154

18First downs26

4-143rd down3-7

3Turnovers2

30:14Possession29:46

Scoring plays

• Q4 2:34DELASkyler Jordan 71 Yd pass from Jaden Stewart (Nathan Wilson Kick)35–69
• Q4 5:12SOUTDemetri Simmons 10 Yd Run (Kyle Gallegos Kick)28–69
• Q4 12:47DELAJaden Sutton 72 Yd Run (Nathan Wilson Kick)28–62
• Q4 14:54DELAJaden Sutton 5 Yd Run (Nathan Wilson Kick)21–62
• Q3 7:06SOUTKeshawn Toney 2 Yd pass from Eric Phoenix (Kyle Gallegos Kick)14–62
• Q3 11:20SOUTCaden High 45 Yd pass from Eric Phoenix (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)14–55
• Q2 0:07SOUTNigel Johnson 43 Yd pass from Eric Phoenix (Kyle Gallegos Kick)14–49
• Q2 3:55SOUTJustin Smith-Brown 57 Yd pass from Ryan Stubblefield (Kyle Gallegos Kick)14–42
• Q2 6:23DELAJaden Sutton 2 Yd Run (Nathan Wilson Kick)14–35
• Q2 9:55SOUTEric Phoenix 2 Yd Run (Kyle Gallegos Kick)7–35
• Q1 1:11SOUTRashawn Washington Fumble Recovery in End Zone (Kyle Gallegos Kick)7–28
• Q1 6:46SOUTDeondra Duehart 8 Yd Run (Kyle Gallegos Kick)7–21
• Q1 11:35SOUTDeondra Duehart 12 Yd Run (Kyle Gallegos Kick)7–14
• Q1 13:31DELAJordan Hull 15 Yd pass from Mikal Davis (Nathan Wilson Kick)7–7
• Q1 14:40SOUTEinaj Carter 75 Yd pass from Eric Phoenix (Kyle Gallegos Kick)0–7

How the model called it

Market line

SOUT −14.5

Against the number

SOUT covered

line SOUT −14.5

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

SOUT 100%50%DELA 100%

Kickoff144 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

SOUT (top)DELA (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: SOUT 100%

How the line closed

model vs market

Closing line

SOUT −14.5

Closing total

47.5

Model line

—

Actual result

DELA 35 – 69 SOUT

Leaders

Delaware State

• PassJaden Stewart 3/7, 66 YDS, 1 TD
• RushJaden Sutton 15 CAR, 150 YDS, 3 TD
• RecSkyler Jordan 1 REC, 71 YDS, 1 TD

South Carolina State

• PassEric Phoenix 18/21, 341 YDS, 4 TD
• RushDeondra Duehart 8 CAR, 58 YDS, 2 TD
• RecCaden High 4 REC, 132 YDS, 1 TD

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

27sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

127

Points / snap

0.82

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

SOUT up 48 entering the 4th quarter. Across 82 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

100%

SOUT went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WOregon State vs UC Davis55-7WLSU vs Army62-0WArizona State vs Wyoming48-7WTexas State vs Southern Miss58-3WFresno State vs New Mexico State48-0

Fourth downs

13 calls

SOUT gave up 2.2 points to the model on fourth down.DELA 8/9 · SOUT 2/4 agreed

FAQ

What was the final score of Delaware State vs. South Carolina State?

Delaware State 35, South Carolina State 69.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (SOUT) was correct.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

DELA

SOUT

41%

Success rate

57%

0.00

EPA / pass

1.17

0.60

EPA / rush

0.29

41%

Early-down success

58%

26%

Pass success

71%

55%

Rush success

41%

13%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

19%

12%

Stuffed rush rate

17%

48%

Pass rate

54%

8.4

Avg 3rd-down distance

7.6

DELA

8.4 yards to go on 3rd down

64 scrimmage snaps

SOUT

7.6 yards to go on 3rd down

63 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

DELA		SOUT
322	Total yards	631
126	Passing yards	477
196	Rushing yards	154
18	First downs	26
4-14	3rd down	3-7
1-1	4th down	1-1
10/25	Comp/Att	28/33
5.0	Yards per pass	14.5
5.2	Yards per rush	5.3
3	Turnovers	2
4-34	Penalties	10-99
30:14	Possession	29:46

Fourth downs

13 calls

DELA

8/9 with the model

−1.1 pts · −0.0% win prob

SOUT

2/4 with the model

−2.2 pts · −0.0% win prob

Costliest call

Q4 9:26 SOUT punt on 4th & 1 at DELA 42. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 1.94 points.

Every call, priced (13)

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

DELA 6/15 scoring drives← own end zone →SOUT 9/14 scoring drives

SOUTTD1 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1

DELAPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 24Q1

DELATD1 pl, 15 yds· opp 15Q1

SOUTTD5 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1

DELAPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 20Q1

SOUTTD6 pl, 78 yds· own 22Q1

DELAPUNT3 pl, -7 yds· own 19Q1

SOUTPUNT5 pl, 11 yds· own 48Q1

DELATD2 pl, -2 yds· own 2Q1

DELAINT7 pl, 55 yds· own 19Q1

SOUTTD7 pl, 37 yds· opp 37Q2

DELAPUNT3 pl, 0 yds· own 22Q2

SOUTFUM1 pl, 1 yds· own 23Q2

DELATD4 pl, 24 yds· opp 24Q2

SOUTTD3 pl, 62 yds· own 38Q2

DELAMISS11 pl, 51 yds· own 25Q2

SOUTTD5 pl, 76 yds· own 24Q2

DELAPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 33Q3

SOUTTD4 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3

DELAFUM3 pl, 6 yds· own 27Q3

SOUTTD5 pl, 33 yds· opp 33Q3

DELATD12 pl, 71 yds· own 24Q3

SOUTPUNT3 pl, -9 yds· own 38Q4

DELATD1 pl, 72 yds· own 28Q4

SOUTPUNT6 pl, 23 yds· own 35Q4

DELAPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 20Q4

SOUTTD6 pl, 55 yds· own 45Q4

DELATD5 pl, 80 yds· own 20Q4

SOUTEND5 pl, 42 yds· own 30Q4

Scoring plays

• Q4 2:34DELASkyler Jordan 71 Yd pass from Jaden Stewart (Nathan Wilson Kick)35–69
• Q4 5:12SOUTDemetri Simmons 10 Yd Run (Kyle Gallegos Kick)28–69
• Q4 12:47DELAJaden Sutton 72 Yd Run (Nathan Wilson Kick)28–62
• Q4 14:54DELAJaden Sutton 5 Yd Run (Nathan Wilson Kick)21–62
• Q3 7:06SOUTKeshawn Toney 2 Yd pass from Eric Phoenix (Kyle Gallegos Kick)14–62
• Q3 11:20SOUTCaden High 45 Yd pass from Eric Phoenix (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)14–55
• Q2 0:07SOUTNigel Johnson 43 Yd pass from Eric Phoenix (Kyle Gallegos Kick)14–49
• Q2 3:55SOUTJustin Smith-Brown 57 Yd pass from Ryan Stubblefield (Kyle Gallegos Kick)14–42
• Q2 6:23DELAJaden Sutton 2 Yd Run (Nathan Wilson Kick)14–35
• Q2 9:55SOUTEric Phoenix 2 Yd Run (Kyle Gallegos Kick)7–35
• Q1 1:11SOUTRashawn Washington Fumble Recovery in End Zone (Kyle Gallegos Kick)7–28
• Q1 6:46SOUTDeondra Duehart 8 Yd Run (Kyle Gallegos Kick)7–21
• Q1 11:35SOUTDeondra Duehart 12 Yd Run (Kyle Gallegos Kick)7–14
• Q1 13:31DELAJordan Hull 15 Yd pass from Mikal Davis (Nathan Wilson Kick)7–7
• Q1 14:40SOUTEinaj Carter 75 Yd pass from Eric Phoenix (Kyle Gallegos Kick)0–7

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →