Youngstown State vs. Ohio State: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
Youngstown State
Ohio State1-0
▸Final
Ohio Stadium
YOUNTeam statsOSU
234Total yards482
135Pass359
99Rush123
12First downs23
7-153rd down5-12
1Turnovers0
34:00Possession26:00
- Q3 1:40OSUTreVeyon Henderson 30 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)7–35
- Q2 3:06OSUEmeka Egbuka 28 Yd pass from Kyle McCord (Jayden Fielding Kick)7–28
- Q2 9:07OSUTreVeyon Henderson 13 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)7–21
- Q1 1:20OSUMarvin Harrison Jr. 39 Yd pass from Kyle McCord (Jayden Fielding Kick)7–14
- Q1 7:42YOUNMitch Davidson 1 Yd Run (Andrew Lastovka Kick)7–7
- Q1 13:34OSUMarvin Harrison Jr. 71 Yd pass from Kyle McCord (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Market line
OSU −45
Against the number
YOUN covered
line OSU −45
Kickoff143 plays →Final
Tap or hover on the chart to see play details
OSU (top)YOUN (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: OSU 100%
Closing line
OSU −45
Closing total
56.5
Model line
—
Actual result
YOUN 7 – 35 OSU
Youngstown State
- PassMitch Davidson 12/18, 98 YDS
- RushTyshon King 12 CAR, 66 YDS
- RecMax Tomczak 3 REC, 53 YDS
Ohio State
- PassKyle McCord 14/20, 258 YDS, 3 TD
- RushTreVeyon Henderson 5 CAR, 56 YDS, 2 TD
- RecMarvin Harrison Jr. 7 REC, 160 YDS, 2 TD
28.8sper snap · slower the national 24.5s
fastnational avgslow
Snaps run
125
Points / snap
0.34
This exact spot, historically
empirical, no ratingsOSU up 28 entering the 4th quarter. Across 462 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):
99%
OSU went on to win
A near-lock historically
FAQ
What was the final score of Youngstown State vs. Ohio State?
Youngstown State 7, Ohio State 35.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (OSU) was correct.
YOUN
OSU
35%
Success rate
41%
0.05
EPA / pass
0.58
0.09
EPA / rush
0.33
32%
Early-down success
41%
41%
Pass success
47%
30%
Rush success
33%
5%
Explosive play rate (15+ yds)
16%
13%
Stuffed rush rate
17%
47%
Pass rate
56%
6.9
Avg 3rd-down distance
7.4
YOUN
6.9 yards to go on 3rd down
57 scrimmage snaps
OSU
7.4 yards to go on 3rd down
68 scrimmage snaps
| YOUN | OSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 234 | Total yards | 482 |
| 135 | Passing yards | 359 |
| 99 | Rushing yards | 123 |
| 12 | First downs | 23 |
| 7-15 | 3rd down | 5-12 |
| 0-1 | 4th down | 2-3 |
| 17/26 | Comp/Att | 21/33 |
| 5.2 | Yards per pass | 10.9 |
| 3.0 | Yards per rush | 4.6 |
| 1 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 9-76 | Penalties | 6-65 |
| 34:00 | Possession | 26:00 |
YOUN
4/6 with the model
−1.3 pts · −0.0% win prob
OSU
5/6 with the model
−0.1 pts · −0.0% win prob
Costliest call
Q2 7:43 YOUN punt on 4th & 1 at YOUN 37. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.93 points.
Drive chart
every possession, start to finishYOUN 1/10 scoring drives← own end zone →OSU 5/10 scoring drives
OSUTD3 pl, 76 yds· own 24Q1
YOUNTD11 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q1
OSUPUNT3 pl, -1 yds· own 32Q1
YOUNPUNT5 pl, 10 yds· own 22Q1
OSUTD4 pl, 93 yds· own 7Q1
YOUNPUNT5 pl, 14 yds· own 21Q1
OSUTD13 pl, 60 yds· own 40Q2
YOUNPUNT3 pl, 9 yds· own 28Q2
OSUTD11 pl, 90 yds· own 10Q2
YOUNPUNT3 pl, 8 yds· own 14Q2
OSUPUNT4 pl, 14 yds· own 37Q2
YOUNEND2 pl, -2 yds· own 14Q2
YOUNINT11 pl, 43 yds· own 25Q3
OSUPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 20Q3
YOUNPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 10Q3
OSUTD5 pl, 61 yds· own 39Q3
YOUNPUNT6 pl, 28 yds· own 25Q3
OSUDOWNS13 pl, 81 yds· own 9Q4
YOUNDOWNS10 pl, 39 yds· own 10Q4
OSUEND1 pl, 4 yds· opp 49Q4
- Q3 1:40OSUTreVeyon Henderson 30 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)7–35
- Q2 3:06OSUEmeka Egbuka 28 Yd pass from Kyle McCord (Jayden Fielding Kick)7–28
- Q2 9:07OSUTreVeyon Henderson 13 Yd Run (Jayden Fielding Kick)7–21
- Q1 1:20OSUMarvin Harrison Jr. 39 Yd pass from Kyle McCord (Jayden Fielding Kick)7–14
- Q1 7:42YOUNMitch Davidson 1 Yd Run (Andrew Lastovka Kick)7–7
- Q1 13:34OSUMarvin Harrison Jr. 71 Yd pass from Kyle McCord (Jayden Fielding Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOne or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →