Skip to content

Toledo

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MAC · 16-15 · AdjEM +2.1, 137 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+2.1137 of 364
AdjO
111.483 of 364
AdjD
109.3240 of 364
AdjT
69.7195 of 364

Toledo went from -7.8 (#345) on 2025-11-10 to +2.1 (#137) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +2.2 (#135) on 2026-03-16.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
54.5%53
TOV%
14.0%67
OREB%
123.8%82
FTA/FGA
30.8%284
Opp eFG%
54.4%309
Opp TOV%
16.9%93
DREB%
-0.6%215
Opp FTA/FGA
26.4%16

Games16-15

“Ours” is our projected margin for Toledo, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03vsSouth AlabamaL 74-76—
11-08vsMarshallL 73-85—
11-11@Wright StateW 81-71-19.7
11-15vsDetroit MercyW 90-83+11.6
11-19vsYoungstown StateW 92-75+4.7
11-24@TroyW 75-68-15.3
11-26vsBelmontL 72-87+5.5
12-06@OaklandL 97-98-7.8
12-13@Robert MorrisL 70-75-6.5
12-16@Michigan StateL 69-92-17.9
12-30vsWestern MichiganW 84-79+12.4
01-03@Central MichiganW 78-75+2.8
01-06@Northern IllinoisW 75-61+2.7
01-09vsMiami (OH)L 73-87-4.5
01-13vsOhioW 101-85+7.0
01-16@Kent StateL 84-87-3.7
01-20@MassachusettsL 82-84-2.6
01-24vsBowling GreenW 73-72+1.6
01-27@AkronL 81-91-12.8
01-31vsBall StateW 73-55+11.9
02-03vsKent StateL 72-75+4.5
02-07@James MadisonL 71-73-2.4
02-11@Western MichiganW 90-79+3.0
02-14@Bowling GreenL 70-80-5.4
02-21vsEastern MichiganW 94-75+6.0
02-24vsNorthern IllinoisW 79-69+13.4
02-28@OhioW 79-67-0.9
03-03@Miami (OH)L 72-74-12.7
03-06vsBuffaloW 98-78+4.2
03-13vsMassachusettsW 77-67+6.5
03-14@AkronL 76-79-11.0

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.