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Ball State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

MAC · 9-19 · AdjEM -10.6, 309 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
-10.6309 of 364
AdjO
96.8345 of 364
AdjD
107.4195 of 364
AdjT
66.3338 of 364

Ball State went from -0.0 (#181) on 2025-11-10 to -10.6 (#309) on 2026-04-06, peaking at -0.0 (#181) on 2025-11-10.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 28 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
46.6%342
TOV%
14.6%106
OREB%
77.0%255
FTA/FGA
31.2%276
Opp eFG%
52.3%230
Opp TOV%
17.4%67
DREB%
17.3%130
Opp FTA/FGA
31.9%101

Games9-19

“Ours” is our projected margin for Ball State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03vsLouisianaW 75-64—
11-11@WisconsinL 55-86-17.8
11-15vsLittle RockL 62-68+15.0
11-22@Indiana StateL 52-70-15.3
11-28@MonmouthL 73-80-14.1
11-29@LafayetteL 37-55-5.9
12-03@EvansvilleL 52-64-4.3
12-09vsSouth Dakota StateL 64-68-2.9
12-14@CampbellL 64-69-10.0
12-20vsMiami (OH)L 77-86-11.8
01-03@BuffaloL 72-85-16.3
01-06vsEastern MichiganL 52-74-1.9
01-10@MassachusettsL 71-79-11.6
01-13@AkronL 77-87-21.5
01-16vsOhioW 76-71-2.1
01-20@Central MichiganW 68-67-3.3
01-24vsNorthern IllinoisW 58-53+5.0
01-31@ToledoL 55-73-11.9
02-03@Bowling GreenL 52-77-13.8
02-07@UL MonroeW 73-68+0.9
02-11vsBuffaloL 53-63-5.6
02-14vsKent StateL 68-75-4.9
02-17@OhioL 57-69-10.2
02-20vsAkronL 65-78-12.6
02-24vsMassachusettsW 74-73-4.4
02-28@Northern IllinoisW 79-43-3.4
03-03@Western MichiganW 74-71-5.0
03-06vsCentral MichiganW 85-69+0.5

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.