#4Zion Booker

WR·Tulsa·2025

Zion Booker is a Versatile WR for Tulsa. Zion's 2025 season ranks in the 67th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 68 plays — a average rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Zion Booker's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

46 Receptions418 Rec yards2 Rec TD9.1 Yards/rec

Returns

8 Punt returns44 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency67
Volume32
Explosiveness14
Consistency26
Pass-Down100

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)67th %ile · average

Game-to-game consistency26th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.36 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.68 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Abilene Christian.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Amare Jones	Tulane	2020	71	0.180	0.0	12.8
Davis Bryson	Kennesaw State	2024	97	0.200	0.0	19.4
Hyleck Foster	Marshall	2015	101	0.180	0.5	18.2
Justin Lynch	Temple	2021	63	0.240	0.3	15.1
Eli Heidenreich	Navy	2025	70	0.220	0.8	15.4

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsAbilene Christian	W35-7	—	6	67	11.2	1	36	0.68
2	@New Mexico State	L14-21	-15.5	9	57	6.3	0	9	0.07
3	vsNavy	L23-42	6.2	8	90	11.3	0	17	0.44
4	@Oklahoma State	W19-12	-15.1	6	59	9.8	0	17	0.40
5	vsTulane	L14-31	6.3	4	10	2.5	0	7	-1.10
6	@Memphis	L7-45	7.6	2	11	5.5	0	7	0.32
8	@East Carolina	L27-41	8.0	9	55	6.1	1	13	0.27
9	vsTemple	L37-38	-5.1	2	69	34.5	0	40	0.66

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

11.3%

Passing plays

20.7%

Rushing plays

1.9%

Standard downs

11.7%

Passing downs

10.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.02
Passing downs: 0.52
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.19 / -0.11

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).