#10Will Wilson

QB·NC State·2025

Will Wilson is a Dual-Threat QB for NC State. Will's 2025 season produced 36.9 total EPA across 39 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Will Wilson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

3/5 Comp/Att16 Pass yards0 Pass TD1 INT60.0% Comp %

Rushing

146 Rush yards10 Rush TD43 Carries3.4 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency100
Volume19
Dual-Threat100
Consistency83
Clutch0

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency83th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among QBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸9 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.14 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.87 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs Pittsburgh (SP+ 8).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
2	vsVirginia	W35-31	11.1	—	—	—	—	—	6	0	1.36
3	@Wake Forest	W34-24	5.7	—	—	—	—	—	3	0	0.93
4	@Duke	L33-45	6.6	—	—	—	—	—	2	2	1.70
5	vsVirginia Tech	L21-23	-10.1	—	—	—	—	—	8	0	0.53
6	vsCampbell	W56-10	—	3/5	16	0	1	82.1	6	1	0.02
7	@Notre Dame	L7-36	24.4	—	—	—	—	—	4	0	0.83
9	@Pittsburgh	L34-53	8.4	—	—	—	—	—	15	0	1.87
10	vsGeorgia Tech	W48-36	9.3	—	—	—	—	—	14	1	0.42
13	vsFlorida State	W21-11	7.2	—	—	—	—	—	33	1	0.69
14	vsNorth Carolina	W42-19	-6.6	—	—	—	—	—	54	4	1.21
20	vsMemphis	W31-7	7.6	—	—	—	—	—	1	1	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

6.7%

Passing plays

1.4%

Rushing plays

12.4%

Standard downs

8.9%

Passing downs

1.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.98
Passing downs: -0.37
Pass / Rush EPA: — / 0.95

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).