#3Wayne Knight

RB·James Madison·20251.3 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Wayne Knight is a Pass-Catching Back for James Madison. Wayne's 2025 season ranks in the 3th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 237 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Wayne Knight's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

1373 Rush yards9 Rush TD207 Carries6.6 Yards/carry

Receiving

40 Receptions397 Rec yards1 Rec TD9.9 Yards/rec

Returns

4 Kick returns89 KR yards0 KR TD21 Punt returns179 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs RB peers

Efficiency3
Volume75
Explosiveness72
Consistency74
Receiving100

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)3th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency74th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.15 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 0.60 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Marshall (SP+ -5).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · RB · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Saquon Barkley	Penn State	2016	288	0.340	3.9	97.9
Dalvin Cook	Florida State	2016	292	0.340	4.3	99.3
Breece Hall	Iowa State	2020	301	0.340	4.5	102.3
Eno Benjamin	Arizona State	2018	316	0.330	4.6	104.3
Donnel Pumphrey	San Diego State	2016	344	0.320	4.2	110.1

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsWeber State	W45-10	—	7	89	12.7	1	3	20	0	0.49
2	@Louisville	L14-28	12.4	5	12	2.4	0	3	23	0	-0.13
4	@Liberty	W31-13	-9.0	17	89	5.2	1	3	27	0	0.30
5	vsGeorgia Southern	W35-10	-9.4	19	151	7.9	1	4	35	0	0.46
6	@Georgia State	W14-7	-24.5	13	85	6.5	1	3	10	0	0.03
7	vsLouisiana	W24-14	-10.1	20	111	5.6	0	5	23	0	0.01
8	vsOld Dominion	W63-27	5.9	12	74	6.2	1	2	27	0	0.15
10	@Texas State	W52-20	2.3	13	48	3.7	0	2	69	0	0.36
11	@Marshall	W35-23	-4.5	14	87	6.2	1	4	79	1	0.60
12	vsApp State	W58-10	-11.4	16	94	5.9	1	6	55	0	0.33
13	vsWashington State	W24-20	3.8	15	126	8.4	1	—	—	—	0.47
14	@Coastal Carolina	W59-10	-15.1	18	85	4.7	0	—	—	—	-0.01
15	vsTroy	W31-14	-4.8	21	212	10.1	1	2	11	0	0.28
20	@Oregon	L34-51	25.9	17	110	6.5	0	3	18	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

26.3%

Passing plays

15.0%

Rushing plays

34.9%

Standard downs

29.2%

Passing downs

19.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.22
Passing downs: 0.34
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.38 / 0.21

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2025 · 14 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.